Betting Splits and MLB Sharp Money Picks for Sunday May 14

May 14, 2023 02:22 AM

Today the weekend wraps up with 15 MLB games. For the latest odds and percentages, be sure to check out the VSiN Betting Splits.

In the meantime, let's examine where smart money is leaning for Sunday's MLB slate...


1:35 p.m. ET: Tampa Bay Rays (-125, 9) at New York Yankees

This is the fourth and final game of this AL East series. The Rays (30-11) won the opener 8-2, cashing as +100 road dogs. Then the Yankees (23-18) won the next two games, taking Friday night's rematch 6-5 as -180 home favorites and then winning again on Saturday 9-8 as +130 home dogs. In this early afternoon series finale, Tampa Bay starts righty Zach Eflin (4-1, 2.91 ERA) and New York counters with fellow righty Clarke Schmidt (1-3, 5.35 ERA). This line opened with the Rays listed as a short -115 road favorite and the Yankees a +105 home dog. Pros have pounced on the Rays to bounce back and earn the series split, steaming Tampa Bay up from -115 to -125. The Rays are receiving 55% of bets but 65% of money, signaling slight public support but also heavy smart money. Road favorites who made the playoffs the previous season are 87-56 (61%) this season. The Rays are 28-9 as a favorite, 24-9 against righties and 11-8 on the road. Tampa Bay also has the edge at the plate (hitting .276 vs .236) and on the mound (team ERA 3.17 vs 3.86).


4:10 p.m. ET: San Francisco Giants (-145, 9) at Arizona Diamondbacks

This is the fourth and final game of this NL West series. The Giants (17-22) won the opener 6-2, taking care of business as -145 road favorites. Then the Diamondbacks (22-18) posted a pair of victories, winning 7-5 as -105 home dogs on Friday and winning again 7-2 as -175 home favorites on Saturday. In this late afternoon series finale, the Giants hand the ball to righty Logan Webb (3-5, 3.56 ERA) and the Diamondbacks tap fellow righty Brandon Pfaadt (0-1, 12.10 ERA). This line opened with San Francisco listed as a -130 road favorite and Arizona a +115 home dog. Sharps have gotten down on the Giants, steaming San Francisco up from -130 to -145. The Giants are receiving 73% of bets but 77% of money, indicating a heavy combination of both Pro and Joe support. Pros are also leaning under, as the total is 9 with the under juiced to -115, signaling a possible drop down to 8.5. Webb is 2-0 in May with a 1.84 ERA.

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