Betting Splits and MLB Sharp Money Picks for Sunday May 14

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Today the weekend wraps up with 15 MLB games. For the latest odds and percentages, be sure to check out the VSiN Betting Splits.

 

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In the meantime, let’s examine where smart money is leaning for Sunday’s MLB slate…

 

1:35 p.m. ET: Tampa Bay Rays (-125, 9) at New York Yankees

This is the fourth and final game of this AL East series. The Rays (30-11) won the opener 8-2, cashing as +100 road dogs. Then the Yankees (23-18) won the next two games, taking Friday night’s rematch 6-5 as -180 home favorites and then winning again on Saturday 9-8 as +130 home dogs. In this early afternoon series finale, Tampa Bay starts righty Zach Eflin (4-1, 2.91 ERA) and New York counters with fellow righty Clarke Schmidt (1-3, 5.35 ERA). This line opened with the Rays listed as a short -115 road favorite and the Yankees a +105 home dog. Pros have pounced on the Rays to bounce back and earn the series split, steaming Tampa Bay up from -115 to -125. The Rays are receiving 55% of bets but 65% of money, signaling slight public support but also heavy smart money. Road favorites who made the playoffs the previous season are 87-56 (61%) this season. The Rays are 28-9 as a favorite, 24-9 against righties and 11-8 on the road. Tampa Bay also has the edge at the plate (hitting .276 vs .236) and on the mound (team ERA 3.17 vs 3.86).

 

4:10 p.m. ET: San Francisco Giants (-145, 9) at Arizona Diamondbacks

This is the fourth and final game of this NL West series. The Giants (17-22) won the opener 6-2, taking care of business as -145 road favorites. Then the Diamondbacks (22-18) posted a pair of victories, winning 7-5 as -105 home dogs on Friday and winning again 7-2 as -175 home favorites on Saturday. In this late afternoon series finale, the Giants hand the ball to righty Logan Webb (3-5, 3.56 ERA) and the Diamondbacks tap fellow righty Brandon Pfaadt (0-1, 12.10 ERA). This line opened with San Francisco listed as a -130 road favorite and Arizona a +115 home dog. Sharps have gotten down on the Giants, steaming San Francisco up from -130 to -145. The Giants are receiving 73% of bets but 77% of money, indicating a heavy combination of both Pro and Joe support. Pros are also leaning under, as the total is 9 with the under juiced to -115, signaling a possible drop down to 8.5. Webb is 2-0 in May with a 1.84 ERA.