Betting Splits and MLB Sharp Money Picks for Sunday June 4

June 4, 2023 02:46 AM

Today the weekend wraps up with a loaded slate of 15 MLB games. You can track the latest odds and percentages for every matchup using our VSiN Betting Splits

In the meantime, let's examine where smart money is leaning for Sunday's MLB slate...


2:35 p.m. ET: Seattle Mariners at Texas Rangers (-145, 8)

The Rangers (37-20) have taken the first two games of this three-game series, winning the opener 2-0 as -110 home favorites and then winning again 16-6 on Saturday as -150 home favorites. In this afternoon's series finale, the Mariners (29-29) start righty Bryce Miller (3-2, 3.00 ERA) and the Rangers counter with fellow righty Nathan Eovaldi (7-2, 2.42 ERA). This line opened with Texas listed as a -135 home favorite and Seattle a +125 road dog. Sharps seem to be thinking "if it ain't broke, don't fix it" and have steamed the Rangers up from -135 to -145. Texas is receiving 85% of bets and 90% of money, signaling a heavy combination of both Pro and Joe support. Home favorites off a win receiving 5-cents of steam or more are 94-46 (67%) this season. Home favorites off a blowout win of 9-runs of more are 15-9 (63%). Texas has a significant edge at the plate, hitting .276 compared to .228 for Seattle. The Rangers are 21-10 as a favorite, 25-14 against righties and 18-8 at home. We could also be looking at a lower scoring game, as the total is 8 with the under juiced to -115, signaling a possible dip down to 7.5. Eovaldi posted a 0.96 ERA in five May starts, with Texas going 4-1 in those games. 


4:05 p.m. ET: Baltimore Orioles at San Francisco Giants (-110, 8)

This is the rubber match of a three-game Interleague series. The Orioles (36-22) won the opener 3-2, cashing as +140 road dogs. Then the Giants (29-29) bounced back with a 4-0 win yesterday as -135 home favorites. In this late afternoon series finale, Baltimore hands the ball to righty Tyler Wells (3-2, 3.29 ERA) and San Francisco goes with fellow righty Anthony DeSclafani (4-4, 3.48 ERA). This line opened with the Giants listed as a -120 home favorite and the Orioles a +100 road dog. Pros have pounced on Baltimore in a bounce-back spot, dropping the line down toward a pick'em. The Orioles are receiving 60% of bets but nearly 70% of money, signaling modest public support but also respected sharp action. The Orioles are 15-6 (71%) after a loss this season. AL East teams vs non-AL East teams are 125-72 (64%). Baltimore is 15-12 as a dog and 21-13 against righties. San Francisco is 12-16 as a favorite and 18-23 against righties. The total is 8 with the over juiced to -115, signaling a possible rise up to 8.5. The forecast calls for mid 60s with 10 MPH winds blowing out to dead center. The over is receiving 54% of bets but 67% of money, a sharp bet discrepancy. 

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