Betting Splits and MLB Sharp Money Picks for Sunday July 23

July 23, 2023 08:04 AM

Today the weekend wraps up with a loaded slate of 15 MLB games. You can track the latest odds and betting percentages for every matchup using our VSiN Betting Splits

In the meantime, let's examine where smart money is leaning for Sunday's MLB slate...


1:35 p.m. ET: Kansas City Royals at New York Yankees (-200, 9) 

The Yankees (52-47) have taken the first two games of this series, winning Friday's opener 5-4 as -200 home favorites and then winning again on Saturday 5-2 as -250 home favorites. In today's series finale, the Royals (28-72) hand the ball to righty Jordan Lyles (1-11, 6.05 ERA) and the Yankees counter with fellow righty Luis Severino (1-4, 6.66 ERA). This line opened with New York listed as a -180 home favorite and Kansas City a +165 road dog. Pros are banking on the Yankees to earn the sweep, steaming New York up from -180 to -200. The Yankees are receiving 86% of bets and 92% of money, signaling a heavy combination of both Pro and Joe support. AL East favorites playing teams outside the division are 159-83 (66%) with a 7% ROI this season. AL East favorites playing AL Central opponents are 62-20 (76%) with a 23% ROI. New York is 30-23 at home. Kansas City is 13-36 on the road. Fading Lyles has resulted in a 17-1 (94%) record with a 51% ROI. 


2:35 p.m. ET: Los Angeles Dodgers (-120, 10) at Texas Rangers

The Dodgers (57-40) have dominated the first two games of this Interleague series, taking the opener 11-5 as -120 road favorites and winning again yesterday 16-3 as -135 road favorites. In today's series finale, the Dodgers go with righty Emmet Sheehan (3-0, 4.91 ERA) and the Rangers (58-41) send out lefty Martin Perez (7-3, 4.84 ERA). This line opened at roughly a pick'em, with both sides listed around -110. Pro money has jumped on Los Angeles at a cheap chalk price, steaming the Dodgers up to -120. Los Angeles is receiving 68% of bets and 75% of money, indicating modest public support but also heavy sharp action. Interleague road favorites off a win are 54-27 (67%) with a 12% ROI this season. The Dodgers are 24-11 (69%) with a 21% ROI when they are a short favorite of less than -150. Perez has a 12.79 ERA in two July starts. Rangers star shortstop Corey Seager was placed on the IL after yesterday's game with a sprained thumb. The red-hot Dodgers are 18-7 in their last 25 games. 

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A Numbers Game: Be careful betting baseball games right now, if they don’t involve teams still trying to make the playoffs. Teams that have clinched or teams that are completely out of it will be approaching games far differently. View more tips.

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