Betting Splits and MLB Sharp Money Picks for Sunday July 16

July 16, 2023 07:44 AM

Today the weekend wraps up with a loaded slate of 15 MLB games. You can track the latest odds and betting percentages for every matchup using our VSiN Betting Splits.

In the meantime, let's examine where smart money is leaning for Sunday's MLB slate...


1:35 p.m. ET: Chicago White Sox at Atlanta Braves (-175, 9.5)

This is the rubber match of a three-game Interleague series. The Braves (61-30) won the opener 9-0 as -275 home favorites. Then the White Sox (39-55) bounced back with a 6-5 win on Saturday, cashing as +245 road dogs. In this early afternoon series finale, the White Sox hand the ball to righty Dylan Cease (3-3, 4.30 ERA) and the Braves counter with lefty Kolby Allard (0-0, 4.22 ERA). This line opened with Atlanta listed as a -165 home favorite and Chicago a +150 road dog. Pros are banking on Atlanta to get back on track after yesterday's loss, steaming the Braves up from -165 to -175. The Braves are receiving 88% of bets and 92% of money, signaling a heavy combination of both Pro and Joe support. The Braves are 39-12 (77%) with an 18% ROI against teams who missed the postseason last year. Atlanta has a notable edge at the plate, hitting .271 vs .237 for Chicago. The Braves are 31-16 at home. The White Sox are 18-30 on the road. Pros are also leaning under, as the total is 9.5 with the under juiced to -115, signaling a possible dip down to 9. When the total is 9 or more in Interleague play the under is 85-64 (57%) this season with an 8% ROI. 


7:10 p.m. ET: Houston Astros (-145, 9.5) at Los Angeles Angels 

This is also the rubber match of a three-game series. The Astros (51-42) won the opener 7-5, cashing as +125 road dogs. Then the Angels (46-47) earned a late 13-12 comeback win yesterday, cashing as +130 home dogs. In tonight's series finale, Houston goes with righty Cristian Javier (7-1, 4.34 ERA) and Los Angeles taps lefty Tyler Anderson (4-2, 5.25 ERA). This line opened with the Astros listed as a -135 road favorite and the Angels a +120 home dog. Pros have laid the chalk with Houston, driving the Astros up from -135 to -145. Houston is receiving 81% of bets and 85% of money, indicating a heavy combination of public and sharp support. Sweet sport short road favorites -120 to -150 are 139-77 (64%) this season with a 12% ROI. Sharps have also hit the over, raising the total from 9.5 to 10 across the market. The forecast calls for mid 80s with 7-10 MPH winds blowing out to center. The over is receiving 58% of bets and 65% of money, signaling modest public support but also heavy sharp action. 

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