Betting Splits and MLB Sharp Money Picks for Sunday April 30

April 30, 2023 02:58 AM

Today the weekend wraps up with 15 MLB games. Track the latest odds and percentages for every game using our VSiN Betting Splits. In the meantime, let's examine a pair of matchups receiving sharp action on Sunday...


12:05 p.m. ET: Chicago Cubs (-165, 8) at Miami Marlins

The Marlins (15-13) have taken the first two games of this three-game series, winning 7-6 on Saturday as -120 home favorites. In this early afternoon series finale, the Cubs (14-12) turn to lefty Justin Steele (4-0, 1.19 ERA) and the Marlins rebuttal with righty Bryan Hoeing (0-1, 9.82 ERA). This line opened with Chicago listed as a -135 road favorite and Miami a +115 home dog. Sharps have laid the chalk with the Cubs to avoid the sweep, steaming Chicago up from -135 to -165. Non-division road favorites are 76-35 (69%) this season. Favorites who missed the playoffs the previous season are 112-58 (66%). Chicago also has correlative betting value as a favorite in a low total game (8), as the fewer amount of expected runs scored are more likely to come from the better team. The Cubs have the better bats (hitting .276 vs .248) and the superior pitching (3.65 ERA vs 4.46 ERA). Chicago is +44 in run differential. Miami is -36. 


2:10 p.m. ET: Tampa Bay Rays (-195, 9) at Chicago White Sox 

The Rays (23-5) have taken the first three games of this four-game series, winning 12-3 on Saturday as -135 road favorites. In this afternoon's series finale, Tampa Bay hands the ball to righty Drew Rasmussen (3-2, 3.33 ERA) and the White Sox (7-21) counter with fellow righty Mike Clevinger (2-2, 4.81 ERA). This line opened with Tampa Bay listed as a -175 road favorite and Chicago a +150 home dog. Pros are banking on the Rays to complete the sweep, steaming Tampa Bay up from -175 to -197. Non-division road favorites are 76-35 (69%) this season. Road favorites who made the playoffs the previous season against teams who did not are 54-26 (68%). Favorites off a blowout win of nine runs or more are 18-4 (82%). The Rays have the edge at the plate (hitting .279 vs .227) and one the mound (2.81 ERA vs 5.88 ERA). Tampa Bay is 23-4 as a favorite, 17-4 against righties and 9-3 on the road. Chicago is 2-17 as a dog, 5-16 against righties and 3-9 at home. The Rays are +106 in run differential. The White Sox are -68. 

back to news

Live On Air

Streaming Now: Follow The Money

play Watch Live radio Listen Live


Thom Cunningham: Golden Knights at Stars  - 1P - OVER (1.5). View more picks.


The Handle: With the recent news on Jimmy Garoppolo's injury clause, consider fading the Raiders in NFL futures markets now in case Las Vegas does in fact move on from the QB. View more tips.