Betting Splits and MLB Sharp Money Picks for Saturday May 27

May 27, 2023 12:27 AM

Today the weekend kicks off with a loaded slate of 15 MLB games. You can track the latest odds and percentages for every matchup using our VSiN Betting Splits

In the meantime, let's examine a pair of Saturday matchups receiving sharp action across today's MLB slate...


4:10 p.m. ET: Los Angeles Dodgers at Tampa Bay Rays (-115, 8)

The Rays (38-15) took Friday night's Interleague series opener 9-3, cruising as -125 home favorites. In this late afternoon rematch, the Dodgers (31-21) start lefty Clayton Kershaw (6-4, 2.98 ERA) and the Rays counter with righty Tyler Glasnow, who is making his season debut after being injured to start the year. This line opened with Tampa Bay listed as a short -110 home favorite and Los Angeles a +100 road dog. Pros have pounced on the Rays laying a cheap chalk price at home, driving Tampa Bay up from -110 to -115. The Rays are receiving 55% of bets but 65% of money, signaling a relatively undecided public but also respected sharp action. Home favorites off a win receiving 5-cents of steam or more are 89-38 (70%) this season. AL East teams playing non-AL East opponents are 108-58 (65%). Tampa Bay has the edge at the plate (hitting .269 vs .236) and on the mound (team ERA 3.68 vs 4.25). The Rays are 34-12 as a favorite, 8-2 against lefties and 25-5 at home. The Rays also have correlative betting value as a favorite in a low total game (8), as the fewer amount of expected runs scored are more likely to come from the better team. 


9:10 p.m. ET: New York Mets (-200, 11) at Colorado Rockies

The Mets (27-25) won last night's series opener 5-2, taking care of business as -210 road favorites. In tonight's rematch, New York starts righty Justin Verlander (2-2, 3.60 ERA) while the Rockies (22-30) turn to fellow righty Chase Anderson (0-0, 1.15 ERA). This line opened with the Mets listed as a -180 road favorite and the Rockies a +165 home dog. Pros aren't scared off by the expensive chalk and have steamed the Mets up from -180 to -200. New York is receiving roughly 85% of bets and money, signaling a heavy dose of both Pro and Joe support. Non-division road favorites off a win are 66-36 (65%) this season. The Mets are 21-16 as a favorite and 20-12 against righties. The Rockies are 19-24 as a dog and 14-20 against righties. New York also has the far fresher bullpen, throwing just 7.1 innings over the past three games compared to 13 innings for Colorado. The total is 11 with the over juiced to -115, signaling some liability on a higher scoring game. The Mets are 8-4 to the over their last 12 games.

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