Betting Splits and MLB Sharp Money Picks for Saturday June 3

June 3, 2023 04:01 AM

Today the weekend kicks off with a loaded slate of 16 MLB games. You can track the latest odds and percentages for every matchup using our VSiN Betting Splits

In the meantime, let's examine where smart money is leaning for Saturday's MLB slate...


4:10 p.m. ET: Los Angeles Angels at Houston Astros (-175, 8.5) 

This is the third game of a four-game series. The Astros (34-23) have taken the first two games, winning the opener 5-2 as -145 home favorites and then winning again on Friday 6-3 as -130 home favorites. In this late afternoon rematch, the Angels (30-29) turn to lefty Patrick Sandoval (3-4, 3.42 ERA) and the Astros counter with righty Cristian Javier (6-1, 2.97 ERA). This line opened with Houston listed as a -165 home favorite and Los Angeles a +150 road dog. Sharps are riding the hot hand at home, steaming the Astros up from -165 to -175. Houston is receiving roughly 85% of bets and dollars, signaling a heavy dose of Pro and Joe support. The Astros are 24-17 as a favorite, 10-5 against lefties and 17-13 at home. Javier posted a 2.40 ERA in May and the Astros went 5-0 in his five May starts. The Astros also enjoy a distinct bullpen advantage. Houston is 12-5 (71%) against divisional opponents this season. The total is 8.5 with slight -115 juice to the under. The under is receiving 54% of bets but 86% of money, a notable sharp bet discrepancy. 


4:10 p.m. ET: Toronto Blue Jays (-115, 9) at New York Mets

The Blue Jays (21-37) took last night's Interleague series opener 3-0, cashing as +110 road dogs. In today's rematch, Toronto starts righty Jose Berrios (5-4, 3.86 ERA) and the Mets (20-38) send out fellow righty Tylor Megill (5-3, 4.67 ERA). This line opened with New York listed as a -115 home favorite and Toronto a +105 road dog. The public is backing the Mets to bounce back at home. However, despite New York receiving 62% of bets, we've seen this line completely flip to Toronto -115. Essentially, we are seeing sharp "dog to favorite" line movement on the Blue Jays. Interleague road favorites off a win are 34-15 (69%) this season. AL East teams vs non-AL East teams are 123-71 (63%). The Jays have the edge at the plate (hitting .266 vs .242) and on the mound (team ERA 3.83 vs 4.53). Toronto is 21-18 as a favorite. New York is 5-8 as a dog. Berrios had a 3.19 ERA in May, with the Jays going 4-2 in his six starts. Megill had a 5.28 ERA in six May starts. Pros are also leaning under, as the total is 9 with the under juiced to -115, signaling a possible drop down to 8.5. When the total is 9 or more in an Interleague game, the under is 52-36 (59%) this season. Both teams are 4-1 to the under in their last five games. 

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