Betting Splits and MLB Sharp Money Picks for Saturday June 10

June 10, 2023 02:52 AM

Today the weekend kicks off with a loaded slate of 15 MLB games. You can track the latest odds and percentages for every matchup using our VSiN Betting Splits.

In the meantime, let's examine where smart money is leaning for Saturday's MLB action...


2:15 p.m. ET: Cincinnati Reds at St. Louis Cardinals (-165, 8.5)

The Cardinals (27-37) took Friday night's series opener 7-4, cashing as -180 home favorites. In this early afternoon rematch, the Reds (29-35) start rookie lefty Andrew Abbott (1-0, 0.00 ERA) and the Cardinals go with veteran righty Miles Mikolas (4-2, 3.74 ERA). This line opened with St. Louis listed as a -160 home favorite and Cincinnati a +145 road dog. Sharps have laid the chalk with the Cardinals, driving St. Louis up from -160 to -165. Currently 70% of bets and 82% of money is on the Cardinals, signaling a heavy combination of both public and sharp support. Both teams are hitting roughly .250. The difference comes on the mound, with the Cardinals sporting a team ERA of 4.23 compared to 5.08 for the Reds. St. Louis is 6-1 in Mikolas' last seven starts. Pros are also leaning over, as the total is 8.5 with the over juiced to -115. The forecast calls for high 80s with 5-10 MPH winds blowing out to left center. The Reds are 12-6 to the over in their last 18 games.


6:10 p.m. ET: Houston Astros at Cleveland Guardians (-130, 8)

The Guardians (30-33) won last night's series opener 10-9 in 14 innings, cashing as a -105 home pick'em. In tonight's rematch, the Astros (36-28) turn to righty J.P. France (1-1, 3.44 ERA) and the Guardians counter with fellow righty Triston McKenzie (0-0, 0.00 ERA). This line opened with Cleveland listed as a -120 home favorite and Houston a +110 road dog. The public is jumping on the Astros as a trendy plus money dog. However, despite 62% of bets taking Houston, we've seen the line move further to Cleveland -120 to -130. This signals sharp reverse line movement on the home team, with pros laying the short chalk with the Guardians. Cleveland is only receiving 38% of bets but 51% of money, a sharp contrarian bet discrepancy. Pros have also hit the under, dropping the total from 8.5 to 8. When both teams made the playoffs the previous season, as is the case here, the under is 79-67 (54%) this season. Cleveland is 38-23 (62%) to the under this season, the second base under team behind the Padres. The under is 12-6 in the last 18 Guardians games. The Astros are 4-2 to the under in their last six games and 11-5 to the under in their last 16 road games.

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