Betting Splits and MLB Sharp Money Picks for Monday May 8

May 8, 2023 02:29 AM

Wake up with VSiN Daily Morning Bets, a quick 15-minute podcast posted at 7 a.m. ET highlighting the top games and biggest line moves of the day. For a full breakdown of Monday's betting action be sure to catch the VSiN Market Insights Podcast at 3 p.m. ET. 

You can also track the VSiN Betting Splits for every game. 

In the meantime, let's examine where smart money is leaning for Monday's MLB slate...


6:35 p.m. ET: Colorado Rockies at Pittsburgh Pirates (-175, 8.5)

The Rockies (14-21) have won six of their last seven games and just took two of three at the Mets, winning 13-6 on Sunday as +170 road dogs. On the flip side, the Pirates (20-15) have lost seven straight games and just got swept by the Blue Jays, losing 10-1 on Sunday as +120 home dogs. In tonight's series opener, Colorado turns to lefty Kyle Freeland (3-3, 3.76 ERA) while Pittsburgh counters with righty Mitch Keller (3-1, 3.32 ERA). This line opened with the Pirates listed as a -155 home favorite and the Rockies a +140 road dog. Pros are buying low on Pittsburgh to snap their losing skid, steaming the Pirates up from -155 to -175. Pittsburgh is receiving 69% of bets but 81% of money, a sharp bet discrepancy in their favor. Favorites who missed the playoffs the previous year are 131-86 (60%) this season. Monday home favorites off a loss are 52-31 (63%) since 2022. The Pirates are 7-1 as a favorite, 6-4 against lefties and 9-7 at home. The Rockies are 12-16 as a dog, 8-15 against righties and 7-12 on the road. 


9:38 p.m. ET: Houston Astros (-125, 9) at Los Angeles Angels

The Astros (17-17) have lost four of their last five games and just dropped two of three at the Mariners, losing 3-1 on Sunday as +120 road dogs. Meanwhile, the Angels (19-16) just lost two of three at the Rangers, losing 16-8 on Sunday as -125 home favorites. In tonight's series opener, the Astros hand the ball to righty Hunter Brown (3-1, 2.60 ERA) and the Angels trot out lefty Patrick Sandoval (3-1, 2.93 ERA). This line opened with Houston listed as a short -115 road favorite and Los Angeles a +105 home dog. Pros have pounced on the Astros laying a short chalk price, steaming Houston up from -115 to -125. The Astros are receiving 55% of bets but 65% of money, signaling slight public support for also heavy smart money. Road favorites who made the playoffs the previous year playing an opponent who did not are 61-35 (64%) this season. The Astros are 43-16 (73%) against lefties since 2022. Houston also has the fresher bullpen, throwing 8.1 innings over the last three games compared to 16.1 innings for Los Angeles. 


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