Betting Splits and MLB Sharp Money Picks for Friday May 26

May 26, 2023 02:45 AM


Wake up with VSiN Daily Morning Bets, a quick 15-minute podcast posted at 7 a.m. ET highlighting the top games and biggest line moves of the day. For a full breakdown of Friday's betting action be sure to catch the VSiN Market Insights Podcast at 3 p.m. ET. 

You can also track the latest odds and percentages for every game using our VSiN Betting Splits

In the meantime, let's examine where smart money is leaning for Friday's MLB action...


6:40 p.m. ET: Chicago White Sox (-145, 8.5) at Detroit Tigers

The Tigers (23-25) took Thursday night's series opener 7-2, cashing as +130 home dogs. In tonight's rematch, the White Sox (21-31) turn to righty Lance Lynn (3-5, 6.28 ERA) while Detroit counters with lefty Joey Wentz (1-4, 7.45 ERA). This line opened with the White Sox listed as a -135 road favorite and the Tigers a +125 home dog. Sharps have laid the chalk with Chicago to bounce back with a win, steaming the White Sox up from -135 to -145. The White Sox are receiving 55% of bets but 65% of money, signaling slight public support but also respected sharp action. Chicago is 11-8 as a favorite. Detroit is 19-23 as a dog. Lynn has been better in May, posting a 5.11 ERA in four starts with Chicago going 3-1 in those games. Meanwhile, Wentz has posted an 8.82 ERA in four May starts. Despite losing last night, Chicago is 8-4 over their last 12 games. The total is 8.5 with the over juiced slightly to -115, signaling some over liability. The over is receiving 64% of bets but 70% of money, a sharp "low bets, higher dollars" discrepancy. Detroit is 4-1 to the over their last five games. 


8:10 p.m. ET: Toronto Blue Jays (-150, 8) at Minnesota Twins

The Blue Jays (26-25) are 2-9 over their 11 games and just dropped three of four at the Rays, losing 6-3 yesterday as +150 road dogs. Similarly, the Twins (26-24) are 2-5 over their last seven games and just dropped two of three at home against the Giants, although they won the finale 7-1 on Wednesday as -145 home favorites. In tonight's series opener, Toronto goes with righty Kevin Gausman (2-3, 3.14 ERA) and Minnesota rolls with fellow righty Louie Varland (2-0, 4.18 ERA). This line opened with the Jays listed as a -140 road favorite and the Twins a +130 home dog. Sharps are buying low on the Jays to get back on track, driving Toronto up from -140 to -150. Road favorites who made the postseason the previous year playing an opponent who did not are 87-55 (61%) this season. Toronto has a sizable edge at the plate, hitting .265 compared to .229 for Minnesota. The Twins are just 5-11 as a dog. Toronto called a team meeting after yesterday's loss to Tampa, which could provide a spark for tonight. Pros are also leaning under as the total is 8 with the under juiced to -115, signaling a possible fall down to 7.5. The under is receiving 31% of bets but 45% of money, a sharp bet discrepancy. The forecast calls for mid 70s with the wind blowing in from right center at 7-10 MPH. Minnesota is 4-1 to the under in their last five games. 

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