Betting Splits and MLB Sharp Money Picks for Friday April 14

April 14, 2023 12:58 AM
 

 

Wake up with VSiN Daily Morning Bets, a quick 15-minute podcast posted at 7 a.m. ET highlighting the top games and biggest line moves of the day. For a full breakdown of Friday's betting action be sure to catch the VSiN Market Insights Podcast at 3 p.m. ET. 

You can also track the VSiN Betting Splits for every game. 

In the meantime, let's examine where smart money is leaning for Friday's MLB slate...

 

7:07 pm. ET: Tampa Bay Rays (-135, 9) at Toronto Blue Jays

The Rays (13-0) are the only undefeated team in MLB and just swept the Red Sox in a four-game series at home, winning 9-3 on Thursday as -250 home favorites. Meanwhile, the Jays (8-5) just took two of three at home against the Tigers but fell to Detroit 3-1 yesterday as -250 home favorites. In tonight's series opener, Tampa Bay turns to righty Drew Rasmussen (2-0, 0.00 ERA) and Toronto counters with fellow righty Jose Berrios (0-2, 11.17 ERA). This line opened at a virtual pick'em with both sides listed at roughly -110. Pros have pounced on Tampa Bay at the cheap price, steaming the red-hot Rays up from -110 to -135. Tampa Bay is receiving 72% of bets but 81% of money, signaling both public and sharp support. Favorites taking in steam of 10-cents or more in their favor are 47-33 (59%) this season. Both teams are hitting roughly .287. The difference comes on the mound, with Tampa Bay sporting a 2.17 team ERA compared to 4.84 for Toronto. Pros have also leaned over, as the total is 9 with the over juiced to -120, signaling a possible rise up to 9.5. The over is receiving 66% of bets but 91% of money, a sharp over discrepancy. The Rays are 9-3-1 to the over this season. 

 

9:40 p.m. ET: New York Mets (-210, 8) at Oakland Athletics

The Mets (7-6) just took two of three at home against the Padres and are coming off a 5-2 win on Wednesday, cashing as -115 home favorites. Meanwhile, the Athletics (3-10) just dropped three of four on the road at the Orioles, losing the finale 8-7 on Thursday as +195 road dogs. In tonight's Interleague series opener, New York taps righty Kodai Senga (2-0, 1.59 ERA) and Oakland rebuttals with fellow righty James Kaprielian (0-1, 11.17 ERA). This line opened with the Mets listed as a -195 road favorite and the Athletics a +180 home dog. Pros aren't scared off by the expensive chalk and have steamed the Mets up from -195 to -210. New York is receiving 85% of bet buts 97% of money, indicating a combination of heavy Pro and Joe support. The Mets have a "rest vs tired" advantage, having been off yesterday while the A's played in Baltimore. Favorites coming off a day off playing teams on the second leg of a back-to-back are 283-179 (61%) since 2018. Non-division road favorites are 26-11 (70%) this season. Non-division road favorites -200 or more are 56-21 (73%) since 2022. New York also has correlative betting value as a favorite in a low total game (8), as the fewer amount of expected runs scored are more likely to come from the "better" team. 

back to news

Related News

Live On Air

Streaming Now: Sharp Money

play Watch Live radio Listen Live

PRO PICKS

Mike Somich: 1H - Nuggets (-0.5) at Heat. View more picks.

PRO TIPS

A Numbers Game: If betting on college baseball, make sure you are familiar with the playoff format during each round. It does change from regionals to super regionals to CWS. View more tips.
 

OSB_NBA_2023_NBA_Finals_TP_Static_280x233_Get$200_JJRedick_(1)_(1)

Close