Happy Saturday! Today we kick off the weekend with a loaded slate of 15 MLB games. You can track the latest odds and percentages on every game using our VSiN Betting Splits page.
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In the meantime, let’s examine where smart money is leaning for today’s MLB slate…
4:10 p.m. ET: Boston Red Sox (-150, 8.5) at Detroit Tigers
The Red Sox (3-4) took Thursday’s series opener 6-3, cashing as -135 road favorites. After a day off on Friday, the series continues with today’s late afternoon showdown. Boston hands the ball to righty Tanner Houck (1-0, 5.40 ERA) and Detroit (2-5) turns to lefty Joey Wentz (0-1, 5.06 ERA). This line opened with the Red Sox listed as a -140 road favorite and the Tigers a +130 home dog. Pros have laid the modest chalk with Boston, steaming the Red Sox up from -140 to -150. Favorites with 10-cents of steam or more in their favor are 29-18 (62%) this season. If both teams are coming off a day off, the favorite is 143-70 (67%) since 2022. Boston holds a big advantage at the plate, hitting .256 compared to .201 for Detroit. Pros have also leaned under, as the total is 8.5 with the under juiced to -115, signaling a possible drop down to 8. The forecast calls for low 50s with 5-10 MPH winds blowing in from center.
4:10 p.m. ET: Miami Marlins at New York Mets (-160, 8)
The Mets (4-4) took Friday’s series opener 9-3, taking care of business as -170 home favorites. In today’s rematch, New York starts righty Kodai Senga (1-0, 1.69 ERA) and Miami (3-5) counters with lefty Trevor Rogers (0-1, 6.23 ERA). This line opened with the Mets listed as a -150 home favorite and the Marlins a +140 road dog. Pros are riding the hot hand, steaming New York up from -150 to -160. New York has value as a favorite in a low total game (8), as the fewer amount of expected runs scored are more likely to come from the "better" team. The Mets are 4-1 against the Marlins to start the season. New York is 3-1 as a favorite. Miami is just 1-4 as a dog. Pros have also hit the under, as the total is 8 with the under juiced to -120. Some books are even inching down to 7.5. The under is receiving 36% of bets but 59% of money, a sharp contrarian bet discrepancy.