Saturday MLB Sharp Report

April 8, 2023 12:16 AM

Happy Saturday! Today we kick off the weekend with a loaded slate of 15 MLB games. You can track the latest odds and percentages on every game using our VSiN Betting Splits page. 

In the meantime, let's examine where smart money is leaning for today's MLB slate...


4:10 p.m. ET: Boston Red Sox (-150, 8.5) at Detroit Tigers

The Red Sox (3-4) took Thursday's series opener 6-3, cashing as -135 road favorites. After a day off on Friday, the series continues with today's late afternoon showdown. Boston hands the ball to righty Tanner Houck (1-0, 5.40 ERA) and Detroit (2-5) turns to lefty Joey Wentz (0-1, 5.06 ERA). This line opened with the Red Sox listed as a -140 road favorite and the Tigers a +130 home dog. Pros have laid the modest chalk with Boston, steaming the Red Sox up from -140 to -150. Favorites with 10-cents of steam or more in their favor are 29-18 (62%) this season. If both teams are coming off a day off, the favorite is 143-70 (67%) since 2022. Boston holds a big advantage at the plate, hitting .256 compared to .201 for Detroit. Pros have also leaned under, as the total is 8.5 with the under juiced to -115, signaling a possible drop down to 8. The forecast calls for low 50s with 5-10 MPH winds blowing in from center. 


4:10 p.m. ET: Miami Marlins at New York Mets (-160, 8) 

The Mets (4-4) took Friday's series opener 9-3, taking care of business as -170 home favorites. In today's rematch, New York starts righty Kodai Senga (1-0, 1.69 ERA) and Miami (3-5) counters with lefty Trevor Rogers (0-1, 6.23 ERA). This line opened with the Mets listed as a -150 home favorite and the Marlins a +140 road dog. Pros are riding the hot hand, steaming New York up from -150 to -160. New York has value as a favorite in a low total game (8), as the fewer amount of expected runs scored are more likely to come from the "better" team. The Mets are 4-1 against the Marlins to start the season. New York is 3-1 as a favorite. Miami is just 1-4 as a dog. Pros have also hit the under, as the total is 8 with the under juiced to -120. Some books are even inching down to 7.5. The under is receiving 36% of bets but 59% of money, a sharp contrarian bet discrepancy. 

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