MLB betting market report: Daily picks, advice for Wednesday 8/3

By Adam Burke  (VSiN.com) 

August 3, 2022 11:21 AM
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After a dizzying day around the diamond with a bevy of trades and new faces in new places, the best bets article returns with a look at the Wednesday card. Tons of day games today, which limits the betting options being on the West Coast with the time it takes to write the article.

There are plenty of things to watch and talk about, but I’d encourage you to check out the Trade Deadline live blog I did over the last two days for all of that coverage: https://www.vsin.com/2022-mlb-trade-deadline-how-deals-impact-the-betting-odds/

Lastly, well wishes and condolences to the family and friends of legend Vin Scully. What a phenomenal life. Like I said last night on The Night Cap shortly after the news broke, we often say that people are born to do something, but Vin was legitimately born to do what he did as a broadcasting icon and somebody baseball fans around the world respected and listened to for six decades. RIP, sir.

Yesterday’s Recap

Rockies/Padres: Two wins on the field and several wins off of it for the Padres yesterday. They swept the doubleheader from the Rockies on Trent Grisham’s walk-off rocket and also made possibly the biggest trade ever to get Juan Soto. Josh Hader threw a scoreless inning and got the win in his Padres debut.

Yu Darvish wasn’t terribly sharp and Nabil Crismatt wasn’t sharp at all, but it was a spectacular day otherwise for the Friars.

Reds/Marlins: The Cincinnati Pitching Factory is doing really well. Not only did the Reds get some interesting arms at the deadline, but Nick Lodolo, Hunter Greene and Graham Ashcraft have allowed one earned run on 10 hits over the last 20.1 innings with 18 strikeouts against two walks. According to StatsbySTATS, the Reds are the first team to start three straight rookies and have them combine for 18 or more K and no more than one ER.

Yes, the last two have been against the Marlins, but these cats are dealing. Lodolo’s been good of late and Ashcraft’s been inconsistent, but I love the raw stuff. Ashcraft only had three of the strikeouts and allowed a ton of hard-hit contact, so his 8.1 innings come with a grain of salt, but this is a way better team than it was early in the season. If only they could get some bullpen arms.

Meanwhile, Miami’s Braxton Garrett struck out 11 over his 5.2 innings and got a very tough-luck loss. The Marlins’ offensive struggles continued and they sold off some bullpen arms, so they look like a good fade team moving forward.

Mets/Nationals: Baseball is weird. Jacob deGrom returned and pitched five quality innings, but the Nationals still pulled off the second-biggest upset of the season on a day when they traded their two best hitters. The big story is obviously deGrom, who struck out six on 59 pitches, but Washington’s cobbled together lineup got to the Mets pen for the 5-1 win. The Mets only had two hard-hit balls against Cory Abbott and the Nationals pen, which has been quite a bit better recently.

Brewers/Pirates: Another shocking upset featured the Pirates with a 5-3 win in a battle between Corbin Burnes and Bryse Wilson. Burnes walked five in 5.1 innings and gave up four runs on three hits, while Wilson turned in yet another decent outing. Since returning to the team on July 2, Wilson has a 3.62 ERA in 27.1 innings. He also, however, has a 5.05 FIP, so that’s concerning. Like Mitch Keller, he’s really become a big-time ground ball guy, as that’s been a notable change for Pittsburgh pitchers. They’re doing some nice things on the pitching side, which is easier to fix than hitting when a new regime takes over. We’ll see if they can continue.

Phillies/Braves: Spencer Strider struck out 13 in 6.2 innings and the Braves scored 13 runs in a rout of the Phillies. Atlanta will go with a six-man rotation to protect Strider, Kyle Wright, Ian Anderson and Max Fried by slotting Jake Odorizzi into the mix. This team has been rolling for a long time now. Since the start of June, Atlanta is 40-14 and is showing no signs of slowing down.

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