MLB betting market report: Daily picks, advice for Tuesday 6/7

By Adam Burke  (VSiN.com) 

June 7, 2022 12:17 PM
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To Tuesday we go, with 16 games on the betting board thanks to a double dip in Cleveland, though rain is once again in the forecast on the shores of Lake Erie. The Guardians have already had nine postponements this season and have a lot of doubleheaders left to go, so hopefully they can get at least one of the games in today.

Otherwise, it’s a pretty standard day. The lone day game is Game 1 of the doubleheader, so that means we have plenty of time to survey the card and look for the bets that make the most sense.

Yesterday’s Recap

Diamondbacks/Reds: It turns out that guys that throw upper 90s gas with a good slider can put it together from time to time. That’s what Hunter Greene did, as the only hit he allowed in the game was a leadoff bunt single. That runner was immediately erased on a caught stealing. The Reds scored seven runs and the game was called after seven innings. Bummer for run line and under backers, as the grounds crew failed to put the tarp on correctly and the infield was basically rendered unplayable.

Greene had 17 whiffs on 41 swings and only needed 87 pitches to get through seven strong. He’s got 28 strikeouts against just four walks in his last four starts. Maybe the kid is figuring it out on the fly.

Mets/Padres: The Mets are having an impressive West Coast trip thus far. They’ve now won three in a row after an 11-5 triumph over the Padres. Blake Snell struggled through four innings with five runs allowed on seven hits with three walks and four strikeouts. Snell was behind in the count a lot and had to rely on the fastball. Lost in the offensive outburst was that Carlos Carrasco struck out 10 over seven innings against a Padres offense that is simply not very good.

San Diego now has the fifth-highest K% over the last 14 days and just a .285 wOBA. Four teams have a wOBA under .300 since May 1. The Padres are one of them. The others? Rays, A’s, Tigers.

Blue Jays/Royals: Ross Stripling gave up one hit over his five innings with a couple of strikeouts as he and the Blue Jays bullpen combined on a two-hit shutout of the Royals. Daniel Lynch got rocked in the middle innings and gave up six runs on six hits over 5.2 innings, including three homers. The Royals are 3-14 in their last 17 games.

Mariners/Astros: So much for all the low-scoring games at Minute Maid Park. Games in Houston averaged 6.4 runs over the first 20, but Robbie Ray and Cristian Javier both gave up a ton of hard contact early in a 7-4 win for the M’s. Ray gave up 12 hard-hit balls over his five innings, but only managed to give up three earned runs.

Quietly, the Mariners have won seven of their last 10 for their best stretch since mid-April. I’m not saying that the Mariners have a high ceiling, but it is interesting to note a few things about their schedule. They’ve only played three of their 19 scheduled games against Oakland and just six of 19 against Texas. They also haven’t played the free-falling Angels yet this season, but have played 10 of their 19 against the Astros with two more left in this series.

Red Sox/Angels: Just what we all expected from Michael Wacha and Noah Syndergaard, a 1-0 game. Wacha fired a CGSHO three-hitter with six punchouts against an Angels team that seemed to be a little jet-lagged. Syndergaard was solid over six innings against a very good Red Sox offense, though he did pitch around 10 hard-hit balls. Mike Trout had a hit and a walk, but the Angels still ran their losing streak out to 12.

The Red Sox are over .500 for the first time since being 6-5 on April 19. After starting 10-19, the Red Sox are 18-9 over their last 27 games and only two of the wins, including last night’s, have been by one run. They’ve been an excellent run line bet lately, but it hasn’t gotten the fanfare of the early Dodgers and Mets runs.

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