MLB betting market report: Daily picks, advice for Thursday 5/26

By Adam Burke  (VSiN.com) 

May 26, 2022 12:10 PM
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Weather is a major factor around Major League Baseball on Thursday. It is a rare Thursday with only one day game, but we could have several postponements or delays because rain is in the forecast in a lot of the cities hosting games. Think long and hard about whether or not your bet will be compromised in the event of a rain delay, as some are long enough for starting pitchers to not be able to come back out.

With 12 games on the board, we’ve got plenty to discuss. Hopefully Mother Nature eases off the throttle and allows us to get the majority of these games in without issue.

Yesterday’s Recap

Rockies/Pirates: After a couple of low-scoring duds at PNC Park, we saw 15 runs on Thursday afternoon. Bad pitching played a part, but maybe we’re just seeing the effects of the humidor lessened a bit during the warmer daytime hours. Either way, Colorado lost, so the Rockies Road Fade was successful. Just know that if you want to bet against the Rox on the road, you had better do it early.

Mets/Giants: Another day, another over at Oracle Park. The Giants scored nine runs early and the game went over the total by the second inning. The Mets are definitely showing the signs of all of their pitcher injuries right now and it doesn’t help that Chris Bassitt struggled in his last start as well. The thing about missing starters is that the replacements aren’t as good, but also that it puts more strain on the bullpen. Both pens logged a lot of innings in this series, but especially the Mets’ relief corps. 

Dodgers/Nationals: Just like we all expected, Erick Fedde threw six shutout innings against the Dodgers on Wednesday. Julio Urias pitched well himself, but the one run he allowed was enough for the Nats to secure a 1-0 victory. I mentioned this last week, but the Dodgers could be in a little trouble offensively if they can’t draw walks. Fedde only walked one batter, though Los Angeles did threaten a bit against the bullpen. Either way, the Dodgers will have lapses of focus like this throughout the season when they lose games that they shouldn’t. The trick is hoping that we can isolate them.

Brewers/Padres: Are the Padres starting to come back to earth a bit? When you look at the lineup, only Manny Machado and Eric Hosmer are really hitting, and Hosmer is starting to tail off a bit. San Diego has been living right on the pitching side, and did again on Wednesday, but still lost 2-1. Maybe the fade sign is lit up for this team, as their recent line moves suggest.

Cubs/Reds: I mentioned this during my Betting Across America spot yesterday, but didn’t it seem odd that the Reds would be pumped up to a -140 favorite against anybody? They’ve been such a bad team most of the season that many probably looked at the Cubs at + 130 and said “why not”? Well, the Reds held on for a 4-3 win. The betting market will tell you a lot. You just have to listen.

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