MLB betting market report: Daily picks, advice for Saturday 7/30

By Adam Burke  ( 

July 30, 2022 12:39 PM

We’ve got two days left in July and three days left until Deadline Day. One big domino fell last night with the trade of Luis Castillo to the Mariners for a very strong haul of prospects, including Noelvi Marte. Seattle got a lot better with yesterday’s trade and we’ll wait to see which other contending teams make moves to improve.

No article on Sunday, but I’ll be on The Run Line tomorrow night at 8 p.m. ET talking all things baseball.

Yesterday’s Recap

Mets/Marlins: A rare off night for Sandy Alcantara led to a bullpen battle that was won by the Mets. Alcantara allowed four runs on eight hits in just five innings with three walks and five strikeouts. He only had seven whiffs in 50 swings, so the stuff was not up to snuff. He was staked to a 3-0 lead heading into the top of the second, but gave it right back, as the Mets went 4-for-16 with RISP on the night. The game went over 6.5 by the bottom of the second.

Cardinals/Nationals: Certainly you’ve heard the phrase “a day late and a dollar short”. Well, the 1st 5 bet was an inning late and a dollar short. Washington failed on a good scoring opportunity in the second to at least give us a push and then St. Louis blew the game open with three runs in the sixth on a couple of homers. It’s been an incredibly frustrating week and the violent swings of the season are definitely getting to me as football prep is underway. The last day for the article will be August 25, but I’ll do some playoff MLB writing.

Phillies/Pirates: The Keystone State Clash went to the Phillies on Friday night with a 4-2 win. Jose Quintana and Bailey Falter were both solid and the Phillies got some quality relief work with four scoreless innings. Philadelphia had 16 hard-hit balls to just six for the Pirates, who are likely to move some players over the next couple of days. They are, however, one of the few bad teams with little to trade.

Diamondbacks/Braves: Madison Bumgarner allowed 14 hard-hit balls and had zero strikeouts over six innings against the Braves. He’s lucky that he only allowed five runs. Atlanta got a solid effort from Kyle Wright, but Kenley Jansen had a shaky ninth with two walks, a hit and three strikeouts. Arizona could look a lot different after the weekend with Christian Walker and David Peralta as potential trade candidates.

Dodgers/Rockies: The Dodgers jumped on Chad Kuhl for five early runs, but went scoreless over the final six innings of the game. Craig Kimbrel made it very interesting in the ninth with two runs allowed on three hits, but the Dodgers narrowly escaped with a 5-4 win. For the second straight night, a Dodgers lefty pitched well against a Rockies team that has hit lefties well all season long, as Julio Urias went seven efficient innings on 89 pitches. Colorado batters bad lefties at home. Tyler Anderson and Urias are not bad lefties.

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