MLB betting market report: Daily picks, advice for Monday 6/20

By Adam Burke  (VSiN.com) 

June 20, 2022 12:57 PM
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Nine games are on the card for Monday, as a new week begins and some new series get underway. We’ve got a couple of excellent pitching matchups in Atlanta and Tampa, but also the potential for one in Milwaukee, depending on how Miles Mikolas responds after throwing 129 pitches in search of a no-hitter last time out.

Hopefully all you dads out there enjoyed your Sunday holiday. Ben Wilson and I enjoyed doing last night’s edition of The Run Line and we encourage you to check out the episode. (HOUR 1 | HOUR 2)

Yesterday’s Recap

Phillies/Nationals: Philadelphia took four of five in the elongated series from Washington, but lost Sunday’s finale. Zach Eflin was pulled after 38 pitches and two innings, as he allowed four runs on five hits. Eflin is battling a knee injury and just didn’t look sharp yesterday. It was concerning to see the Phillies only scratch out three runs against Jackson Tetreault, but it was one of those days, as they hit 13 balls hard, but only managed singles on the high-velocity contact.

Giants/Pirates: The Giants took two of three in Pittsburgh, but the Pirates remain a scrappy bunch, as all three games were close. Alex Cobb left after four innings and 60 pitches yesterday coming off of the IL. He only had two whiffs in 23 swings, so the stuff wasn’t terribly sharp.

Pirates closer David Bednar threw 32 pitches for a multi-inning win after a blown save in the top of the ninth. It’s great that he’s being used multiple innings, but keep that in mind regarding his availability the next day or days after.

Brewers/Reds: The Brewers swept the Reds by an 18-10 count over the weekend to get back on track before a big series against the Cardinals. Willy Adames has already had a positive impact since returning. He’s not hitting for a high average or OBP, but he’s hit for some power and has played a very good SS. Milwaukee gets Josh Hader back from the paternity list today and has Corbin Burnes on the bump, so things are looking up for the Brew Crew.

Marlins/Mets: Chris Bassitt ran out of steam in a five-run seventh, as the Marlins downed the Mets to avoid the sweep. Sandy Alcantara fired eight excellent innings to stay atop the NL Cy Young race at most shops. One interesting note is that the Marlins stole eight bases off of catcher Tomas Nido in this series. Base-stealers are now 21-for-23 off of Nido this season, who took over full-time catching duties when James McCann went out last month. It took me a while to notice this, but teams that like to run may get a bump against the Mets.

Braves/Cubs: The Braves struck out 31 times in the weekend set against the Cubs, managing to win only the series finale. Atlanta really struggled to generate a lot of offensive chances in this series and you really do have to wonder what happens now that they’re getting back to playing better teams. They get Logan Webb and the Giants tonight with Max Fried going at home for Atlanta. The Braves only mustered 19 AB with RISP in the series after the Padres scored 41 runs in four games earlier in the week.

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