MLB betting market report: Daily picks, advice for Friday 7/8

By Adam Burke  (VSiN.com) 

July 8, 2022 12:45 PM
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A new day brings new opportunities on the MLB card, as a bunch of new series get underway on Friday. We’ve got a few big numbers out there, but most of the card has competitively-lined games, which were few and far between over the last few days. Hopefully that means it will be the start of a nice stretch in the article.

With a lot to get to, let’s get to it with a look at the July 8 card.

Yesterday’s Recap

Pirates/Reds: The Pirates got a good effort from Roansy Contreras and then sent the promising prospect down to make room for the 27th man in the second game of the doubleheader. We saw two low-scoring games in the double dip and a split. We actually saw a good start from Pittsburgh’s Bryse Wilson for once, but the defense and bullpen failed him in the seventh. It remains a good live betting angle to look for spots to fade pitchers, especially bad ones, heading into the fifth, sixth or seventh innings.

Marlins/Mets: The Marlins managed two hits against Trevor Williams and the Mets bullpen in yesterday’s 10-0 loss. The Mets jumped all over starter Daniel Castano and Jimmy Yacabonis and then put it in cruise control. Jazz Chisholm Jr. is ramping up towards baseball activities and is set to play a Rookie game on Saturday. He essentially went out on June 25, as he had one plate appearance after that and then hit the IL. Since then, the Marlins have batted .214/.268/.353 as a team. They may not like him, but they sure as hell miss him.

More specifically, they’re batting .210/.271/.350 against righties, where Chisholm has been most effective.

Cardinals/Braves: Despite a dominant pitching performance from Spencer Strider, the Braves came up on the short end last night of a 3-2 extra-inning affair. The Braves were 1-for-15 with RISP and had plenty of chances to bust the game open early. But, Strider was the story with 12 strikeouts, including his first nine outs. He had 23 whiffs in 51 swings. What an incredible find by the Braves in the fourth round of the 2020 draft.

Rockies/Diamondbacks: The Road Rockies actually got all the way to four runs last night and topped the Snakes by a run. The most surprising thing for me in this one is that Dallas Keuchel didn’t throw a single cutter against the right-handed-heavy lineup. He only allowed eight hard-hit balls and didn’t walk anybody over seven innings. I still won’t trust him much, but he appears a little more comfortable back with Brent Strom.

Giants/Padres: The scary collision between Jurickson Profar and CJ Abrams stole all the headlines in this one, which was a really good pitcher’s duel between Logan Webb and Joe Musgrove. Webb was excellent over eight innings, even though he only had two strikeouts. His season ERA is now under 3.00. Musgrove walked four, but only allowed one hit. His spin rates were down across the board in this start, though. This was his lowest start by spin rate on the slider since April 26 and his lowest of the season with the cutter. He had the control issues and only nine whiffs in 42 swings. Maybe it’s nothing, maybe it’s something, but I’ll keep an eye on it.

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