Looking for tide to change this weekend

By Brent Musburger  (VSiN managing editor) 

Funny how all that gossip about Alabama’s Nick Saban being pursued by several NFL franchises was buried alongside his football team after the Clemson beatdown.

I am still licking my financial wounds from the Tide’s debacle, not to mention Da Bears’ “Pinball Wizard” field-goal kicker. I should have listened to my bookmaker friend Jimmy Vaccaro, who taught me a long time ago, “Brent, tease up, not down.” Even former mayor Oscar Goodman chided me for leading him in the wrong direction last weekend.

But let’s listen to the command of a losing horseplayer. Turn the page.

Saturday 4:35 p.m. EST – NBC

Indianapolis (11-6 SU, 9-7-1 ATS) o/u 57

at Kansas City (12-4 SU, 9-6-1 ATS) –5½

The forecast calls for up to three inches of snow. We can’t overlook the fact that the Colts are a dome team headed into the teeth of that weather, although they did practice out of their comfort zone in the cold outdoors this week. History still leads us to the Colts, who have beaten the Chiefs four straight times in the playoffs. However, a quarterback named Patrick Mahomes was not part of that history. Despite the weather there are two Colt players besides Andrew Luck who could be difference makers. Running back Marlon Mack, who put up 148 yards last week at Houston, and linebacker Darius Leonard, who leads the NFL in tackles, should keep the Colts within five points.

Saturday 8:15 p.m. EST – Fox

Dallas (11-6 SU, 9-7-1 ATS) o/u 49½

at L.A. Rams (12-4 SU, 9-6-1 ATS) –7

The Cowboys can win this game outright, so the seven points are just a bonus. It won’t be easy, especially if Todd Gurley is back to 100 percent for the Rams. But the L.A. attack has not been the same since the loss of Cooper Kupp. All the gushing about Sean McVay’s revolutionary offense overlooks the fact that Jared Goff has not won a playoff game. Remember, the Rams were eliminated at home last year by Atlanta 26-13. The Cowboys have become a much more dangerous offensive team since they picked up receiver Amari Cooper in mid-season. But this game will revolve around running back Ezekiel Elliott and the Dallas offensive line’s ability to control Aaron Donald and Ndamukong Suh. There is certainly enough there for the Cowboys to at least stay within the seven.

Sunday 1:05 p.m. EST – CBS

L.A. Chargers (13-4 SU, 10-7 ATS) o/u 47½

at New England (11-5 SU, 9-7 ATS) –4

Like the sharps and the public, I, too, believe that the Patriots are not as good as they have been over the last decade. I would love to see Philip Rivers finally make a Super Bowl, but you all know that I have a time-zone bias. I think this is the toughest road trip of the weekend for any team. The Chargers have been great away from home, but this is three straight weeks – two in a row to the Eastern time zone – and now they have to play in sub-freezing weather. The Chargers may indeed be the better football team, but I’m going to pass simply because I think they have too much to overcome. The Patriots have not lost a playoff game at Gillette Stadium in six years, not since the Ravens upset them in the AFC title game.

Sunday 4:40 p.m. EST – Fox

Philadelphia (10-7 SU, 7-9-1 ATS) o/u 51½

at New Orleans (13-3 SU, 10-6 ATS) –8

This is a rematch of a game that was dominated by the Saints 48-7 on Nov. 18, also at the Superdome. But both these teams are far different now than they were then. Saint Nick – not Carson Wentz – is quarterbacking the Eagles, and the Saints attack simply was not the same down the stretch. They covered only one spread in their last five games, and that was a 28-14 win at Tampa Bay on Dec. 9. It says here that the Eagles can stay within the eight.

This weekend I have a pair of two-team, seven-point teasers. On Saturday take the underdog Colts up to plus 12½ and the Cowboys up to plus 14. On Sunday let’s take the Patriots to plus 3 and go up with the Eagles plus 15.

Remember, cashin’ tickets is what it’s all about.

back to news



View All
  • Wednesday Line Moves for UFC Fight Island 8

    Wednesday Line Moves for UFC Fight Island 8

    Happy Wednesday! Today we have a loaded betting menu featuring 30-plus  college basketball games, 10 NBA games and 5 NHL games. For an updated breakdown...
  • Magny should shine in Fight Island 8

    Magny should shine in Fight Island 8

    Wednesday’s UFC event begins at 6 a.m. Pacific Time, so the theme might as well be Beatdowns and Bagels. Max Holloway dominated Calvin Kattar...
  • Watch bombers in Palm Springs event

    Watch bombers in Palm Springs event

    Kevin Na shot 61-65 on the weekend to win the Sony Open in Hawaii at as high as 80-1 odds. Na (40-1) will attempt to win in back-to-back weeks this week...
  • Schedule critical in CBB futures bets

    Schedule critical in CBB futures bets

    Last week we discussed the importance of taking a positive approach to college basketball futures betting. That is, focus on playing plus numbers instead...
  • First impressions as hockey returns

    First impressions as hockey returns

    It’s great to have hockey back, but bettors must temper their expectations and trust their preseason projections. Therefore, this is a great time...
  • Tuley's Takes on Championship Sunday

    Tuley's Takes on Championship Sunday

    The NFL’s divisional playoff round was a mixed bag for us here at the Tuley’s Takes home office, though I spent Saturday at Circa with VSiN...
  • Injuries dog Chiefs, but Packers on roll

    Injuries dog Chiefs, but Packers on roll

    And then there were four. We’re looking forward to what is maybe the single best day on the NFL calendar: Championship Sunday. The matchups are...
  • Championship Sunday: Sifting recent trends

    Championship Sunday: Sifting recent trends

    For as different as this NFL season has been due to the impact of COVID-19, the first two weeks of the playoffs have generally followed the trends of...
  • How to gain edge betting CBB rematches

    How to gain edge betting CBB rematches

    (To view the charts with this report, subscribe to Point Spread Weekly) In a typical college basketball season, and to a lesser degree this season,...
  • Mahomes mystery puts oddsmakers in bind

    Mahomes mystery puts oddsmakers in bind

    It’s generally easy for oddsmakers to post lines on most NFL games. The numbers are typically airtight, unlike in college football. A quarterback...
  • Championship Sunday capsules

    Championship Sunday capsules

    NFC CHAMPIONSHIP GAME Buccaneers at Packers (3:05 p.m. ET Sunday) The Packers opened as consensus four-point home favorites against the...
  • With Pacers surging, Clippers on long haul

    With Pacers surging, Clippers on long haul

    Another week gone, and bettors have yet to see any NBA team separate itself from the pack. The Los Angeles Lakers seem like the surest thing on the board,...

Google Play
App Store