I’ve decided to come up with my own power ratings, using different statistics, personnel evaluations, coaching rankings and other areas that I believe determine outcomes of games. Last week I tested these numbers against the spreads and then decided on my own line. When determining a betting line that was wrong, I recommended the team that was failing to get the proper number respect its ranking deserved. For example, I loved the Eagles and had their power rating above the Bills. When the line was in my favor, meaning getting points from Buffalo, I jumped all over the Birds as my No. 1 recommendation.
I will do the same for this week and discuss in detail Sunday on “Lombardi Line.” Overall, sticking with these ratings and determining my own line allowed me to be 11-3 vs. the spread last week, and Brian Hamilton, producer of “Lombardi Line,” had the picks before the 1 p.m. EDT kickoffs. The only game that was not part of the picks was the Packers-Chiefs game because all the numbers accumulated for the Chiefs were with Patrick Mahomes. Since he was a scratch, the numbers were not valid. So are the Broncos’ numbers this week vs. the Browns. Without Joe Flacco, the Broncos’ ratings are invalid, and I would suggest staying away from the game because of all the unknowns. We will continue to develop and modify based on each week’s performances and how the play affects the rankings.
You might not agree with the Seahawks as the third-rated team. However, in the critical areas of the game, their numbers shine. Yes, they lost to the Ravens and the Saints, but they continue to post quality numbers in essential areas.
These ratings allow me to develop my own point spreads, and in that area you can find variances in the market. The ratings are not predictors of who will win. Instead, once the line is established, they will find the lines that are out of balance.
PR Rank Team