Circa Sports put this up on Tuesday: Tom Brady rushing touchdowns over under 1.5 over + 150
Nobody has been better in NFL history on the QB sneak than Brady.
I have been watching him play for most of his career and can only think of one time he was stopped on a sneak. Tampa will score this year, more than the Pats did last year, giving Tom plenty of chances to sneak or run it in.
He had three last year and two in 2018. The + 150 looks good to me.
Here are some other wagers that caught my eye:
William Hill: Rams under 9 wins -130
No first-round picks and bad contracts plus a tough division and all of a sudden the Rams could go from the penthouse to the outhouse in two years.
Michael Lombardi loves this bet and many people think Arizona is a better team than the Rams.
They have to win 10 games to beat you. I don't see how that happens as Jared Goff has regressed, Todd Gurley is gone and Brandin Cooks could be dealt.
PointsBet: Carolina Panthers over 4.5 wins
Matt Rhule is a proven winner and turns things around in a short period of time.
The Panthers have added Teddy Bridgewater, P.J. Walker, Robby Anderson. Any concerns about Teddy could be solved with Walker, who many people think can be a good NFL QB after destroying XFL defenses.
If Kyle Allen can win games at the ATS machine, Bridgewater can this year as well. They still have talent and speed at WR with Curtis Samuel, DJ Moore and now Anderson. And when in doubt, just give it to Christian McCaffrey.
Draft prop: Jordan Love over 13.5
This continues to go up. Some places have moved from 12.5 to 14.5.
Lot of hype early for Love, but with the chargers set on Taylor, Rivers to the Colts and other moves, it looks like Love is going in the mid-20s in most mocks and a trade would have to happen for us to lose this bet. Mel Kiper has Love going 23rd.