Lessons learned from NFL Week 6

vontobel

It was another strong week for bettors in NFL Week 6, but success should not stagnate the will to improve. The goal is to continue to improve as a handicapper, and we strive to do that with our deep dives into things a quick glance at a box score would not divulge.

 

This week we focus on two teams with a lot to dissect. Indianapolis is not only improving but getting healthy as well. If that trend continues, a real race could develop in the AFC South. Speaking of trends, a troubling one is developing for the Chargers that threatens to derail a promising season. 

 

Indianapolis Hitting Its Stride

 

In 2018, the Colts were in a tailspin after a Week 6 loss to the New York Jets dropped them to 1-5. Their defense had allowed 30.0 points per game, and the offense looked stagnant with scoring efforts of 24 or fewer points in four of those six contests. It seemed that it was another lost season, but a 9-1 SU and 6-3-1 ATS run to end the season put the Colts in the postseason, where they fell to Kansas City in the divisional round. Similarly, this season might have seemed lost after their 0-3 SU, 1-2 ATS start. But improved health and quarterback play could have the Colts finding some momentum at the right time.

 

After handling Houston as an 11.5-point favorite last weekend, Indianapolis is 2-1 SU, 3-0 ATS in its last three games, and the offense is beginning to shape its identity. Carson Wentz has looked much more comfortable over the last three games, completing 69.9 percent of his passes for 9.80 yards per attempt, with six touchdowns and no interceptions. Over those three games he is the fifth-best passer in the league by PFF standards and the second best  when kept clean over that stretch. 

back to news

FREE Email Sign-Up

Get the latest sports betting news & VSiN programming updates with this free daily email from VSiN, The Sports Betting Network.

Headlines

View All
  • baylor

    Early CFB Conference Championship Sharp Report

    Today bettors have a loaded Wednesday slate to choose from including 9 NBA games, 6 NHL games and 70 College Basketball games. For an updated breakdown...
  • reynolds

    Hero World Challenge best bets

    While the official PGA Tour season is on pause until January, an elite field of 20 players gathers this week for the Hero World Challenge in the Bahamas....
  • finocchiaro

    Best bets for Font-Aldo UFC card

    After a week off for Thanksgiving, the UFC heads into its last three productions of 2021 starting with Saturday’s UFC Fight Night from the Apex...
  • USATSI_17242641

    Peterson: Best bet for Nebraska vs. NC State

    The Big Ten/ACC Challenge will be decided on Wednesday and NC State will look to both help its profile, and also that of the ACC, as the Wolfpack...
  • vontobelnfl

    NFL Week 12 lessons learned

    It was an emotional week for me in the NFL, as the Indianapolis Colts’ failed cover cost me a share of the first-place prize in the Westgate SuperContest...
  • vontobelnba

    Three NBA trends to watch

    It was a somewhat quiet week in the NBA with the league taking a night off for Thanksgiving, but there is still plenty to discuss. This week we touch...
  • macneil

    Hockey bettors must beat closing line

    In the end, wins and losses are really all that matters, because every sports bettor’s goal is to make money. However, wins and losses don’t...
  • appelbaum

    Five NFL games wise guys like

    NFL underdogs continued to grind out a profit in Week 12, going 8-7 ATS. Dogs are now 101-77 ATS (57 percent) on the season. A $100 bettor taking every...
  • hill

    NFL capsules for Week 13

    Dallas Cowboys at New Orleans Saints The Dallas Cowboys (7-4 SU, 8-3 ATS) visit the New Orleans Saints (5-6 SU and ATS) on Thursday night as both...
  • moore

    Let's re-examine Gonzaga wagers

    Those predictions we heard about this college basketball season being filled with upsets and uncertainty? Well, they seem to be pretty accurate just a...
  • makinennfl

    Simulating rest of NFL season

    (To view the charts associated with this report, subscribe to Point Spread Weekly) All NFL teams have either five or six games left in their 2021-22...
  • tuley

    Tuley's Takes on NFL Week 13 card

    NFL Week 12 was a rough roller-coaster here in the Tuley’s Takes home office and for a lot of bettors. Thanksgiving weekend actually started great...

custom-banner-3
VSiN Logo Plus

Free Trial

Make a risk-free bet on VSiN!

VSiN+ FREE TRIAL

  • Afternoon subscriber-only email with highlights and best bets from the day's programs
  • Point Spread Weekly, VSiN's digital magazine on sports betting
  • 24-7 Live video stream of VSiN programs plus replays
  • Any special sport-specified betting guides we do
  • All exclusive subscriber-only stories and data on VSiN.com
Sign Up Now
Google Play
App Store
Close