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Last Call for NFL Draft Props! Plus Thursday MLB Sharp Report

April 29, 2021 12:57 AM

Happy NFL Draft Day! After months and months of waiting, one of the biggest betting events of the year is finally upon us. Here are the latest odds for some of the most popular prop bets heading into tonight's first round, courtesy of BetMGM.

1st Overall Pick

Trevor Lawrence -10000

Zach Wilson + 1800

Justin Fields + 4000

Trey Lance + 8000

2nd Overall Pick

Zach Wilson -2500

Justin Fields + 1400

Trey Lance + 4000

Kyle Pitts + 4000

Trevor Lawrence + 4000

Mac Jones + 5000

3rd Overall Pick

Mac Jones -225

Trey Lance + 240

Justin Fields + 325

Kyle Pitts + 2200

Zach Wilson + 5000

Exact Outcome Picks 1-2-3

Lawrence, Wilson, Jones -225

Larence, Wilson, Lance + 250

Lawrence, Wilson, Fields + 350

First three Picks all Quarterbacks -140

First Wide Receiver Selected

JaMarr Chase -1200

Jaylen Wddle + 800

DeVonta Smith + 900

First Running Back Selected

Najee Harris -250

Travis Etienne + 170

Javonte Williams + 850

First Offensive Lineman Selected

Penei Sewell -450

Rashawn Slater + 250

Christian Darrisaw + 3500

Alijah Vera-Tucker + 4000

First Defensive Lineman Selected

Kwity Paye -115

Jaelen Phillips + 150

Christian Barmore + 500

Gregory Rousseau + 1000

First Cornerback Selected

Patrick Surtain -250

Jaycee Horn + 190

Caleb Farley + 2000

First Defensive Player Selected

Patrick Surtain + 110

Jaycee Horn + 190

Micah Parsons + 600

Kwity Paye + 1100

Jaelen Phillips + 1100

Over/Under Round 1 Players By Position

Quarterbacks 5.5 (Over + 350, Under -500)

Runnings Backs 1.5 (Over + 160, Under -200)

Wide Receivers 4.5 (Over -400, Under + 280)

Tight Ends 1.5 (Over + 400, Under -600)

Linebackers 4.5 (Over + 140, Under -175)

Offensive Linemen 6.5 (Over -110, Under -110)

Defensive Linemen 4.5 (Over + 110, Under -140)

Cornerbacks 4.5 (Over -140, Under + 110)

Safeties 0.5 (Over -250, Under + 190)

Offensive Players 18.5 (Over -115, Under -110)

Defensive Players 13.5 (Over -110, Under -115)

In addition to the Draft, we also have 9 MLB games, 6 NBA games and 10 NHL games. For an updated breakdown of Thursday's betting action, be sure to tune in to the VSiN Market Insights Podcast with Josh Appelbaum. It will be posted at 12:30 p.m. ET. I'll be joining The Lombardi Line with Michael Lombardi and Patrick Meagher at 1:45 p.m. ET to offer a market update.

In the meantime, let's discuss where the money is flowing for a pair of MLB games today.

1:15 p.m. ET: Philadelphia Phillies (12-12) at St. Louis Cardinals (12-12)

The Phillies have taken the first two games of this three-game series, beating the Cardinals 2-1 in the opener and 5-3 last night. The Cardinals won the middle game 5-2. In this afternoon's series finale, the Phillies send out ace Aaron Nola (2-1, 2.84 ERA) while the Cardinals give the ball to lefty Kwang Hyun Kim (1-0, 4.15 ERA). This line opened with Philadelphia listed as a -130 road favorite and St. Louis a + 120 home dog. The public is rushing to the window to lay the chalk with the Phillies, especially with their best pitcher on the mound. However, despite this lopsided support we've seen the Phillies fall from -130 to -120. This signals some sharp reverse line movement buying low on the home dog Cardinals (+ 120 to + 110). The Cardinals have value as a team receiving 10-cents or more steam in their favor in a non-division game (52-40, 57% this season). St. Louis also matches as a "sweet spot" dog + 140 or less (90-91, 49.7%, + 14 units won). The Cards are + 4 in run differential this season. The Phillies are -15. One injury to monitor here: Bryce Harper. He left last night's game after getting hit in the face with a pitch. He is questionable for today. 

5:10 p.m. ET: Detroit Tigers (8-16) at Chicago White Sox (12-10)

The Tigers shocked the White Sox 5-2 in the series opener, cashing as massive + 220 road dogs. Then we saw yesterday's second game of the series rained out. Tonight, the Tigers trot out lefty Matt Boyd (2-2, 1.82 ERA) while the White Sox counter with righty Dylan Cease (0-0, 4.15 ERA). This line opened with the White Sox listed as -140 home favorites and the Tigers a + 120 road dog. Pros and Joes seem to be in agreement here as we've seen heavy action side with the White Sox, driving Chicago up to -150. The Tigers are 4-7 on the road while the White Sox are 6-4 at home. The White Sox are + 18 in run differential, third-best in the AL. The Tigers are -35, worst in the AL. One big edge for Chicago is their success against left-handed starting pitchers. The White Sox are 4-1 against lefties this year Chicaog was a perfect 14-0 against lefties last season. We've also seen some under money hit this total. It opened at 8.5 and pros pounced on the hook. dropping it down to 8 at most shops. Divisional unders are 87-71 (56%) this season. Detroit has been one of the best under teams in baseball, going 17-7 to the under. The White Sox have gone 12-10 to the under. 

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