Jeremy Plonk's Best Bets for Thursday (4-28-22)

By Jeremy Plonk  (Xpressbet editor-in-chief) 

April 27, 2022 02:18 AM

Xpressbet editor-in-chief Jeremy Plonk offers his top plays for Thursday.

Keeneland Race 5 (3:08 pm ET)

#2 Castle Leoch (3-1 ML)

Trainer Wesley Ward has absolutely owned the turf sprint races at the Keeneland meet, winning 7 of the 12 offered to date. He's got 2 entrants in this race, but it's Castle Leoch preferred with superb turf sprint jockey Joel Rosario teamed. Win bet, and exacta box with stablemate #8 American Starlet. Also consider daily double to our next selection.

Keeneland Race 6 (3:40 pm ET)

#11 Ulikeapples (8-1 ML)

With several inexperienced horses in this race for trainers that often get bet hard at Keeneland, the lean is to this fleet runner from Chicago to get slightly overlooked in the betting. Trainer Larry Rivelli is well known for his sprint speed, but up against horses from Chad Brown, Brad Cox et al should keep this one a playable price. Wire to wire threat. Win bet.

Bet these races and all the others on the 1/ST BET app. Sign up today with 1/ST BET using codes VEGAS1000 for an instant $10 free plus up to a $1,000 Bonus. DETAILS HERE.

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A Numbers Game: Always compare odds with games behind, remaining schedule, and strength of schedule. i.e. Braves at +300 offer value just 1 game behind the Mets.

The Lombardi Line: It may be a good time to buy low on NFL teams that have the talent, but haven't executed in the first three weeks.

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Amal Shah: Oklahoma / TCU OVER 69

Danny Burke: Texans / Chargers UNDER 45

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Betting Splits: Percentage of handle & tickets from DraftKings, updated every 10 minutes. GO HERE.

NFL Power Ratings: 3 sets of numbers from Steve Makinen. GO HERE.

CFB Power Ratings: 3 sets of numbers from Steve Makinen. GO HERE.

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