Jeremy Plonk's Best Bets for Thursday (1-20-22)

By Jeremy Plonk  (Xpressbet editor-in-chief) 

January 19, 2022 05:18 PM

Xpressbet editor-in-chief Jeremy Plonk offers his top plays for Thursday.

Gulfstream Park Race 3 (1:28 pm ET)

#2 Shea on a Mission (7-2 ML)

Trainer Carlos David's horses were on a roll last week with 3 winners all between $6-$12 returns. This filly makes a positive jockey change to Paco Lopez after a traffic-filled trip last time vs. a tougher field. Win bet.

 

Gulfstream Park Race 7 (3:37 pm ET)

#3 Dial to Win (5-1 ML)

Showed a strong affinity for the new Gulfstream synthetic surface in her January 6 victory while running easily the fastest race of her career. Fits the class conditions for this race perfectly and can win right back. Win bet.

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A Numbers Game: Always compare odds with games behind, remaining schedule, and strength of schedule. i.e. Braves at +300 offer value just 1 game behind the Mets.

The Lombardi Line: It may be a good time to buy low on NFL teams that have the talent, but haven't executed in the first three weeks.

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Amal Shah: Oklahoma / TCU OVER 69

Danny Burke: Texans / Chargers UNDER 45

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Betting Splits: Percentage of handle & tickets from DraftKings, updated every 10 minutes. GO HERE.

NFL Power Ratings: 3 sets of numbers from Steve Makinen. GO HERE.

CFB Power Ratings: 3 sets of numbers from Steve Makinen. GO HERE.

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