Jeff Siegel's Horse Racing Picks for 9/17

By Jeff Siegel  (Xpressbet) 

September 17, 2022 02:34 AM

Xpressbet writer Jeff Siegel offers his top plays for Saturday.

Churchill Downs Race No. 11 (5:58 p.m. ET/2:58 p.m. PT)

#5 Grand Love (9-2)

Won at first asking over a deep and tiring Saratoga main track like a high-quality filly while earning a powerful 84 Beyer Speed Figure, and with a pedigree that should allow her to handle this stretch out in trip she should be quite capable of repeating on the raise in this year’s edition of the Grade 3 Pocahantas Stakes. The juvenile daughter of Gun Runner has breezed impressively since that race, lands a comfortable mid-gate draw, and picks up top rider Joel Rosario. Let’s gamble on this Steve Asmussen-trained filly in the straight pool and in the various rolling exotics and hope to get close to her morning line of 9-2.

Los Alamitos  Race No. 9 (7:35 p.m. ET/4:35 p.m. PT)

#9 Gandolfini (5-2)

This debuting son of Justify has trained like one of Bob Baffert’s better juvenile prospects, and after failing to draw in from the also-eligible list earlier this month at Del Mar he finally gets his chance to show his stuff in this one-mile maiden event. A $475,000 yearling purchase despite an unusually light female family, he’s a big, strong 2-year-old with plenty of scope and moves like a colt that will relish a distance of ground. Outside draw and all, he’s a strong play in the Win pool and a rolling exotic single at anywhere near his morning line of 5-2.

 

1200x630_-_FB_-_SAP_trip

back to news

Related News

Subscriber Only News  Vsin Exclusive

View All

 

Screen_Shot_2022-08-22_at_12.19.15_AM

A Numbers Game: It sounds obvious but stay on top of injury reports and whether or not the information is credible. You don’t want to overreact to news but you can get ahead of line movement if you’re on top of information as it's breaking.

VSiN PrimeTime: Know the weather reports! Early information about CFB Saturday in the southeast, early in the week it appeared the Carolinas would be affected, but now the storm will be further north, totals won't be affected.

View tips for Pro subscribers

Screen_Shot_2022-08-22_at_12.19.15_AM

Kenny White: Kansas +3 vs Iowa State

Chuck Edel: Tulane-Houston Over 55

View new sortable Picks at a Glance page for Pro subscribers

Screen_Shot_2022-08-22_at_12.19.15_AM

Screen_Shot_2022-09-30_at_6.23.35_PM

Betting Splits: Percentage of handle & tickets from DraftKings, updated every 10 minutes. GO HERE.

NFL Power Ratings: 3 sets of numbers from Steve Makinen. GO HERE.

CFB Power Ratings: 3 sets of numbers from Steve Makinen. GO HERE.

View more CFB tools for Pro subscribers

View more NFL tools for Pro subscribers

 

Close