Jeff Siegel's Best Bets: West Coast fillies

By Jeff Siegel  (Xpressbet analyst) 

August 28, 2020 01:01 AM

Xpressbet analyst Jeff Siegel offers Best Bets Thursday-Saturday. On Thursday at Saratoga, Prairie Wings won ($3.40) and Glass Ceiling paid $3.40 to show.

Del Mar – Race 7: Post Time 5:09 PT.

5–Carpe Fortuna (6-1)

Let’s try a gamble with this first-time starting juvenile filly in a five-furlong turf dash that on paper looks fairly wide open. The daughter of Carpe Diem out of a half-sister to Lucky Pulpit breezed a sizzling quarter mile in 20 4/5 seconds at the OBS April sale preview session while displaying quick action and extreme speed and should be plenty of fit after a healthy recent series of easy drills for trainer Peter Eurton. If she breaks with her field, she can win, so—at 6-1 on the morning line—let’s use her in the win pool and in all of our rolling exotics. 

Del Mar – Race 8: Post Time 5:39 PT

5-Message (7/2)

Freshened since May, this Bob Baffert-trained filly has been looking quite sharp in morning drills and should fire a big shot in the five-runner edition of the Tranquility Lake Stakes for older fillies and mares. Most effective when on or near the lead, the daughter of Warrior’s Reward catches a field without too much speed, so we’re expecting Flavien Prat to employ front-running tactics in this main track miler. Her best effort is good enough, so at 7/2 on the morning line she’ll offer value as a win play and a potential rolling exotic single.

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