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Jeff Siegel's Best Bets: Ready to get Lucky

By Jeff Siegel  (Xpressbet analyst) 

September 18, 2020 06:01 PM

Xpressbet analyst Jeff Siegel offers Best Bets Friday-Saturday. On Friday, Jeff had two winners: Zainalarab paid $4.30 at Belmont and Scherzo paid $5.60 at Golden Gate.

Churchill Downs – 9th race. Post time: 4:53 ET

4 – Siamese (6-1) 

Makes her U.S. debut in a soft entry-level allowance affair for fillies and mares and should be capable of springing a mild surprise with a repeat of her sharp runner-up at The Curragh two races back in a valuable handicap that earned a career-top Timeform rating. The daughter of Kitten’s Joy attracts Tyler Gaffalione (22% with a significant flat-bet profit for this barn), and after a couple of easy breezes over the local track the Brendan Walsh-trained filly should be primed and ready. The first-time Lasix user likes to settle early and kick home late and is listed at 6-1 on the morning line.

Golden Gate Fields – 3rd race. Post time: 2:21 PT

7 – A Little Bit Lucky (8/1) 

Cruised to an easy victory in his debut over the Golden Gate Fields all-weather surface in June and then finished well but too late when a respectable fifth in a stakes race for 2-year-olds at Pleasanton the following month. Dropping into a softer starter’s allowance sprint over a surface we know he likes, the Efrain Miranda-trained juvenile projects be forwardly placed throughout from his cozy outside draw in race that seems likely to have modest early fractions. There’s good value to be found at his morning line of 8-1 if you can get it. 

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