The Xpressbet analyst offers his plays every Friday and Saturday. On Friday, Cleveland Simpson finished last at Churchill Downs and Plot The Dots finished first ($3.80) at Laurel Park.
CHURCHILL DOWNS – 6TH RACE. POST TIME: 3:41 ET
6 – PARIS LIGHTS (2-1)
Won like a future star when breaking her maiden by nearly seven lengths in her first try around two-turns over this track and distance last month and seems well-spotted to repeat on the raise in this entry-level allowance affair for fillies and mares. The daughter of Curlin has a good stalking style that should keep her clear of trouble. In a race that projects to have a better-than-average early pace, she should be able to settle in mid-pack and then produce a winning kick when called up. At 2-1 on the morning line, she’s both a win play at or near that price and a rolling exotic single.
LOS ALAMITOS RACE COURSE – 3RD RACE. POST TIME 1:58 PT
5 – DISCO BALL (9/5)
In his only start last year at Del Mar, the son of Orb was forced to race under severe pressure while being mired down in the extremely deep inside lane yet continued to battle back bravely in the final stages and was beaten only a half-length by subsequent stakes winner Collusion Illusion. Sharp recent drills indicate this Brian Koriner-trained colt is dead fit off the long layoff and will offer wagering value at his morning line price of 9/5 if you can get it.
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