Jeff Siegel's Best Bets: He's One Bad Boy

By Jeff Siegel  (Xpressbet analyst) 

August 28, 2020 01:01 AM

Xpressbet analyst Jeff Siegel offers Best Bets Thursday-Saturday. On Friday at Del Mar, Carpe Fortuna ran out and Message ended up in.a dead heat for the win with Proud Emma. (You can watch it here.)

Del Mar 7th race – Post Time: 5:10 PT

1 – Beguiled (6-1)

Was victimized by a brutal trip in a similar one-mile grass event here three weeks ago and wound up fourth beaten a half-length after being blocked badly throughout most of the stretch and then getting clear too late to make up the needed ground. Galloped out in front of the pack to indicate she was best, so with the switch to Abel Cedillo and from the rail post position the daughter of Orb need only find room when it matters to handle this task.  There’s plenty of value here at her morning line of 6-1 if you can get it. 

Del Mar 9th race – Post Time: 6:10 PT

3 – One Bad Boy (4-1)

The 2019 Queen’s Plate winner makes his first start in more than a year and has trained like he’s returning better than he left while dropping into this second-level allowance grass event for a trainer that has off-the-charts statistics with layoff runners. High-class son of Twirling Candy won his only prior grass start all by himself and in fact may be most effective on the lawn.  Drawn comfortably inside and with the kind of tactical speed that should place him a good pace-stalking position, the Richard Baltas-trained 4-year-old is generously listed at 4-1 on the morning line and is a "must play at that price.  

You can bet these races at 1/st Bet, a new betting and handicapping product from Xpressbet.

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