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Jeff Siegel's Best Bets for Saturday (5-1)

By Jeff Siegel  (Xpressbet analyst) 

April 29, 2021 10:01 PM

Churchill Downs - Race 13:  Post: 7:55 ET

4-Prime Factor (9/2)

Lightly-raced 3-year-old broke his maiden like a future star sprinting in his debut but then disappointed in a pair subsequent graded stakes races around two turns.  Freshened, backing up in trip and adding Lasix for the first time, the son of Quality Road still has a chance to be a decent sort and this race may confirm out suspicion that he is best suited to sprint at this stage of his career.  If so, the T. Pletcher-trained colt will be tough to beat at 9/2 on the morning line.  

Churchill Downs - Race 14:  Post: 8:30 ET 

5-Happy Hepo (6-1)

Did not make it the races until June of his 3-year-old season, and after winding up a distant fourth in his debut the son of American Pharoah has taken almost a year to make it back to the post.  In recent workouts he has displayed outstanding speed while proving best over some talented workmates, and F. Prat takes the call (38% when he hooks up with this barn). Since we highly doubt that the B. Baffert-trained colt was put on a plane to Kentucky to be given a race, we'll make him a strong win play and rolling exotic single while hoping to get close to his morning line of 6-1. 

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