Jeff Siegel's Best Bets for Saturday (2-19-22)

By Jeff Siegel  (Xpressbet analyst) 

February 18, 2022 08:01 PM

 

Fair Grounds 6th race – Post time: 2:27 CT

5-Vinco (9/2)

Highly-regarded colt was quite unlucky when a troubled but fast-finishing second sprinting in his debut last month.  A $1.5 million yearling purchase, the Dallas Stewart-trained 3-year-old was steadied and shuffled back early but then picked it up nicely through the lane while on his own courage in a race that should have done him a world of good.  He’s stretching out around two turns, so at 9/2 on the morning line the son of Quality Road is a win play and rolling exotic single. 

Santa Anita 8th race b – Post time: 4:10 PT

1-Atomic Drop (9/5)

Fast gelding has been rested since last fall but based on a recent impressive gate drill the P. D’Amato-trained sprinter is returning better than he left.  An eight-length maiden winner over the local main track last summer in a performance that produced a career top speed figure, the son of Mucho Macho Man retains regular pilot A. Cedeno and needs only to avoid trouble from his rail post to handle this task. He is the deserving 9/5 morning line favorite and offers value at that price.

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The Lombardi Line: Bookmakers love parleys, when playing them, you want a mix of favorites and underdogs.

Pro Football Blitz: When you back teams on the raod you want a good running team, when you back teams at home you want a good passing team. With teams on the road usually the underdog, you want a team that can control time of possession like the Tennessee Titans.

 

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Shaun King: Eagles -6.5 vs Jaguars

Brendan Gaughan: Brad Keselowski Top 3 +600

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Betting Splits: Percentage of handle & tickets from DraftKings, updated every 10 minutes. GO HERE.

NFL Power Ratings: 3 sets of numbers from Steve Makinen. GO HERE.

CFB Power Ratings: 3 sets of numbers from Steve Makinen. GO HERE.

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