Jeff Siegel's Best Bets for Friday (8-20)

By Jeff Siegel  (Xpressbet analyst) 

August 20, 2021 04:01 AM

Saratoga Race 2  Post: 1:41 ET

4-Empire Lily (3-1)

First-timer from a stable that excels with debut runners (27% with a massive flat-bet profit) has trained like a very nice prospect in a race for New York-bred juvenile fillies, giving every indication of being a win-early type while displaying smooth, easy action in her morning trials and a mindset that stamps her as a precocious sort with a touch of quality.  The J. Abreu-trained daughter of Pioneerof the Nile lands the stable’s “go-to” rider J. Ortiz, so at 3-1 on the morning line we’ll make her a win play and rolling exotic single.

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Del Mar Race 8:  Post: 5:30 PT

10-Big Switch (3-1)

This is a stronger than par maiden sprint for state-bred juvenile fillies and this first-timer by Mr. Big appears to be a better than par filly.  She has trained like she’s fit and ready for J. Sadler (strong stats with debut runners) and was especially impressive in a five furlong gate drill (:59 2/5, fifth fastest of 82) just six days ago.  Drawn comfortably outside, she should inherit an ideal stalking trip and then have every chance to graduate while offering value at 3-1 on the morning line.  

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