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Jeff Siegel's Best Bets for Friday (4-23)

By Jeff Siegel  (Xpressbet analyst) 

April 22, 2021 10:01 PM

Keeneland – Third Race – Post time: 2:12 ET

7-After Five (5/2) 

Displayed plenty of ability last fall during a three-race juvenile campaign that saw him finish an excellent second in the Futurity S.-G2 at Belmont Park and then wind up a respectable fifth (beaten less than four lengths) in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf Sprint over this same Keeneland course and distance.  He is still a maiden but will not be for long if the son of The Factor returns as well as he left.  The W. Ward-trained sophomore will add Lasix today, remove blinkers, switches to Johnny V., and shows a series of workouts should have him fit and ready.  At 5/2 on the morning line, he is a win play and rolling exotic single.

Belmont Park – Sixth Race – Post time: 3:34 ET

3-Capital Structure (9/5) 

Talented filly ran a terrific race in the American Oaks-G1 when last seen on New Year’s Eve at Santa Anita but wound up an unlucky fifth (beaten three lengths) after being victimized by a traffic trouble and an extreme race-shape that neutralized her excellent closing kick.  She returns off a nearly five month layoff in this second level allowance race (she was entered eight days ago but was scratched due to a late surface switch) and should simply out class her rivals in this 10-furlong turf affair.  The C. Brown barn has superior stats with layoff runners (27% with a massive ROI), and with “win rider” J. L. Ortiz getting back aboard we are expecting the English-bred filly to deliver the goods.

 

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