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Jeff Siegel's Best Bets for Friday (3-5)

By Jeff Siegel  (Xpressbet analyst) 

March 4, 2021 12:39 AM

Gulfstream Park – Third Race – Post time: 2:08 ET

4-Systematic (3-1)

Had a right to be a bit rusty in her start since last fall when racing wide throughout but staying  on nicely through the stretch to finish in a dead heat for third in a similar state-bred maiden turf affair last month. The daughter of Outwork seems likely to move forward considerably with that effort behind her, the G. Weaver barn has strong stats with second-off-layoff runners, and with the switch to the barn’s “go to” rider L. Saez this 3-year-old filly appears ready to earn her maiden diploma in her fourth career start.  Let’s play her in the win pool and in the various rolling exotics at or near her morning line of 3-1.

Golden Gate Fields – Eighth Race – Post time: 4:31 PT

7-Orczy (9/2)

Kept to his task to finish fourth in a salty $25,000 open claiming miler in his U. S. debut last month while very likely needing the outing, and in a sign of confidence from his connections  returns protected in a softer restricted (nw-2) $50,000 starter’s allowance affair while retaining I. Orozco and getting an extra half furlong to work with.  The “second off a layoff” angle is one of this stable’s most productive moves, so the 4-year-old Sir Percy gelding looks extremely live at 9/2 on the morning line.

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