Jeff Siegel's Best Bets for Friday (3-18-22)

By Jeff Siegel  (Xpressbet analyst) 

March 18, 2022 08:01 AM

 

Santa Anita Race 2:  Post: 1:33 PT

4-Mo Connelly (5/2)

Stretching out for the first time, getting a big break in the weights with the switch to good bug boy D. Herrera, and with speed figures that are better than par for the level, the S. Miyadi-trained filly projects as the controlling speed in a race with suspect closers.  Two nice recent workouts indicate she’s doing well and ready to step forward, with the main (only?) concern being her history of self-caused trouble, specifically her difficulties breaking from the gate. Let’s hope that in her fifth career start she will have finally figured out how to leave with her field.

Santa Anita RACE 3:  Post: 2:06 PT

7-Flint Stroll (3-1)

Shows up in a seller for the first time and should greatly appreciate the class relief in this maiden $50,000 nine furlong grass event for older horses.    Trainer P. D’Amato remains red hot, has good stats with both the layoff and the maiden-to-maiden-claiming angles, and appears to have found a proper spot for this gelding. There’s good wagering value at 3-1 on the morning line if you can get it. 

 

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