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Jeff Siegel's Best Bets: Build your Derby bankroll

By Jeff Siegel  (Xpressbet analyst) 

September 3, 2020 01:01 AM
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Xpressbet analyst Jeff Siegel offers Best Bets Thursday-Saturday.

Churchill Downs 7th race – Post Time 4:16 ET

3-Mystical Man (3-1)

Was given an easy race in his debut on turf at Saratoga and should be much more serious today when switching to the main track in this maiden two-turner for juvenile colts. The son of Mucho Macho Man closed ground into the teeth of slow fractions when winding up a respectable fifth (beaten 3 lengths) without being knocked behind just ahead of yesterday’s With Anticipation Stakes winner Fire at Will behind him. The Albert Stall, Jr. barn has powerful stats with the second-time starter angle so we’re expecting this $155,000 OBS March sale purchase to step forward and graduate while offering good value at 3-1 on the morning line. 

Churchill Downs 10th race – Post Time 5:58 ET

6-Crazy Beautiful (2-1)

Could not have been more impressive winning the 7-furlong main track Debutante Stakes at Ellis Park last month after graduating at first asking two-turn on grass the previous month, both victories accomplished by daylight and with ease.  Steps into graded stakes company today in the Pocahontas Stakes-G3, but has the perfect style for this one-turn mile distance and should be able to handle the class hike in stride. The daughter of Liam’s Map is listed at 2-1 on the morning line and we’ll take that price if we can get it both in the win pool and in rolling exotic play.

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