Jeff Siegel's Best Bets: Beware of Curve

By Jeff Siegel  (Xpressbet analyst) 

July 29, 2020 10:01 PM
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Xpressbet analyst Jeff Siegel offers Best Bets Thursday-Saturday. 

SARATOGA — RACE 5: Post 3:28 ET

8-Graded On a Curve (3-1)

Came off the bench to register a sharp first-level state-bred allowance score last month in his first outing since October and appears capable of repeating on the raise after being kept on edge with a strong, healthy work pattern in the interim by Chad Brown. He’s a deep closing type and, as such, would appreciate a bit of help up front. But while the projected pace flow of this race looks moderate at best, the Noble Mission gelding just won when rallying against the grain and can do it again. At 3-1 on the morning line, he’s worth a play in the win pool in the various rolling exotics. 

SARATOGA — RACE 6: Post 4:04 ET

5-More Mango (4-1)

First off the claim for Michael Maker following a third-place effort at this level last month at Belmont Park, the daughter of More Than Ready adds blinkers for her third career start and can be expected to produce a significant forward move in a race in which the pace projects to be moderate at best.  She has worked well since changing barns, is drawn comfortably toward the inside and should find herself on or near the lead throughout with the switch to Maker’s “go to” ride,  Jose Ortiz. She offers good wagering value at or near her morning line of 4-1.

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