Jeff Siegel's Best Bets: Belmont bankroll building

By Jeff Siegel  (Xpressbet analyst) 

June 18, 2020 09:08 PM

The Xpressbet analyst offers his plays every Friday and Saturday. (He already has posted his Belmont Stakes selections here in the 1st Bet Belmont Stakes Wager Guide, which you can DOWNLOAD HERE).

 

Belmont Park – 9th race. Post time 5:36 ET.

4 – Guildsman (7/2)

Been the victim of two troubled trips to kick off his U.S. campaign. But with a clean break and clear sailing today, this talented gelding should be capable of producing a winning late kick. Lost all chance at the start in his North American debut when he broke poorly before winding up third in listed stakes at Gulfstream Park in March. He then had a nightmarish journey (steadied repeatedly in traffic and then took hold too late) in a Churchill Downs overnight turf dash last month. Was good enough as a 2-year to hit the board in two group stakes races (including a close third of 17 in the Coventry S.-G2 at Royal Ascot), so he certainly won’t be outclassed in this spot. We also like the switch to aggressive jockey Luis Saez, so at 7/2 on the morning he’ll offer value both in the win pool and in rolling exotic play.

Santa Anita – 6th race. Post Time 3:30 PT

6 – With Due Cause (4-1)

Made his first start in 11 months (and just his second career outing) in a recent maiden $50,000 claimer and ran third after a tough trip while earning a speed figure good enough to handle this maiden special weight Cal-bred field. It’s a good sign that his connections are protecting him today after the son of Creative Cause broke a bit slowly and then was forced to lose considerable ground while wide before staying on gamely to beaten less than two lengths. Two nice works since that outing and Flavien Prat riding him back are a couple of other positive factors to consider. So at 4-1 on the morning line, let’s make him a win play and rolling exotic single.

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