The UFC goes back overseas to Singapore this week for an early Saturday morning fight card (main card begins at 5 a.m. PT). These regional cards always take on a local flavor and with this being from Asia at an unusual hour with relatively unknown fighters; I’ll keep the breakdowns today brief and concise.
Welterweight Main Event (170 pounds): Leon Edwards -200 vs. Cowboy Cerrone 170
Everything but the price favors Leon Edwards. He’s the younger, faster, striking-based fighter from England who trains at AKA in California. Edwards has rolled off six victories in a row after being dominated by Kamara Usman, which is nothing to be ashamed of. Edwards is kickboxing-based and is precise and judicious in his punching. He does offer power but his best striking attribute comes from his stamina and durability in that as the fight wears on his skills become more apparent. I expect this to be exemplified Saturday against a 35-year-old warrior whose skills have dulled. Edwards will allow Cerrone to work early and weather the early Cerrone storm. He’ll dictate this fight into the second or third round where the Cowboy’s age and worn tread will begin to show. Cerrone has all the knowledge, guile, experience and savvy to get this done but in my estimation he is nothing more than a stepping stone for these young fighters to utilize as they propel themselves up the Welterweight rankings. Edwards opened -130 and has been bet up appropriately to -200.
The Play: Pass
Light-Heavyweight (205 pounds): Tyson Pedro -120 vs. Ovince St. Preux 100
This is a fight between a young man who grew up in a mixed martial arts family and an ex-college football player who is learning how to become a mixed martial artist. St. Preux, the football player turned MMA fighter has ability, athleticism, desire and quickness but he trains in a small local Knoxville, TN. gym and is basically self-taught (brown belt BJJ).
Pedro, an Australian fighter is a decorated Black Belt in Japanese Jiu-Jitsu, a black belt in Kempo and a brown belt in BJJ. He’s more diverse a fighter than St. Preux, is eight years younger and will own advantage on the ground even though St. Preux does have some wrestling ability. Pedro is stepping up in class in this fight but this is a measured risk and one that in his own back yard (almost) he is sure to shine in. Pedro opened up -120 and was bet up immediately. Recent action has compressed the line back down to current Pedro -120, where we feel there is value.
The Play: Pedro -120.