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How to judge NFL awards market

November 9, 2021 08:12 PM

One of the guiding principles of betting futures, particularly in the awards markets, is to stay focused on the long term and not be swayed by game-by-game occurrences. The mindset should be to avoid the weekly noise and think about what happens over the entire season. 


For those interested in the NFL awards, what happened over the weekend was especially noisy and difficult for even the most seasoned bettor to look past. 


Current MVP favorite Josh Allen played so poorly in Jacksonville it led to questions about why he was so short — about + 250 — to begin with. Dak Prescott suffered a case of the come-and-go blues after his Denver debacle. 


Matthew Stafford then had an audition to play the leading man in front of a prime-time national audience against Tennessee. He bombed by throwing more interceptions than touchdown passes. 


Last weekend’s games continued the season-long trend of the names and numbers moving around the MVP board. At different times, Patrick Mahomes, Tom Brady, Kyler Murray, Prescott and Allen have been featured as MVP favorites. 


It seems as though this year’s awards market has more volatility than years past. 

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