High-value pitchers on bad teams


At this point on the calendar, most bettors are inundated with football handicapping or simply concentrating on high-stakes games that will impact baseball’s playoff picture. A few series like that will be played this week, notably featuring the Yankees, Red Sox, Blue Jays, Giants and Dodgers. However, these bettors are missing out on a tremendous amount of potential value with teams that have been eliminated. Most of the time, these teams are heavily discounted by oddsmakers, becoming value targets for savvy pros.

One situation I like to look for late in the season involves teams that have been eliminated but are still playing with obvious signs of heart and grit. In particular, I like to find under-the-radar pitchers who are putting up strong performances for these teams. These emerging studs aspire to become building blocks for their franchises, so they have something to prove. As usual, 2021 has presented that opportunity, and I have focused on 12 pitchers you’ll want to note for the last week of the regular season and in your preparation for next season.

These starting pitchers have become bright spots for their teams in otherwise dismal campaigns. Note that I’ve targeted their potential final starts of the season so you can advantage.

Bailey Ober (Minnesota)

Ober has started 20 times this season, and while his won-lost record is just 3-3, the Twins have gone 12-8 for + 5.4 units of profit in those games. He boasts a highly respectable WHIP of 1.202 and has struck out 96 hitters in 92 innings. Ober has been extra special on the road, with the Twins going 7-3 in games he has pitched. Minnesota is arguably the biggest disappointment in the AL this season, but this young right-hander’s emergence has been a bright spot.

Final start: Scheduled to go Friday at Kansas City

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