Geico 500 Race Simulation

NASCAR Race Simulations are developed using a proprietary formula factoring in recent performance of driver and team, performance at track & track type, qualifying results, and speed at practice sessions. Simulations in Point Spread Weekly are done on Tuesday’s using projected qualifying and practice ranks for the upcoming race and actual results in those sessions in the days leading up to the race can alter overall projections greatly. Average finish positions in the simulations, which are run 1000x each week, can be considered a “Driver Power Rating” for that race, and can then be used to approximate odds to win, place in Top 5 or Top 10, or to compare two drivers in a matchup wager.

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