The unpredictable back-and-forth nature of the NBA bubble continued on Thursday as favorites went 4-3 ATS. This followed dogs going 3-1 ATS on Wednesday and favorites going 6-1 ATS on Tuesday. If you needed an example of just how spot-on oddsmakers are, dogs and favorites are now dead even at 41-41-1 ATS since the restart.
Here are the favorites who covered on Thursday
- Wizards (-2) over Celtics 96-90
- Grizzlies (-4) over Bucks 119-106
- Suns (-8.5) over Mavs 128-102
- Magic (-4.5) over Pelicans 133-127
And here are the dog covers
- Kings (+ 3.5) beat Lakers 136-122
- Jazz (+ 7) beat Spurs 118-112
- Nets (+ 10.5) lost to Blazers 134-133
Unders went 4-3. Overs remain the top bet in the bubble at 46-37-1.
Thanks to their big wins, the Grizzlies and Blazers clinched the top two spots in the playoff play-in game. They will meet on Saturday with the winner set to face the Lakers. Unfortunately, the Suns magical bubble run came to an end despite going a perfect 8-0.
Today, we have a loaded board with 4 NBA games, 5 NHL games and 14 MLB games. Let's discuss a trio of matchups receiving sharp action from respected bettors.
For an updated breakdown of Thursday#39;s betting action, be sure to tune in to the VSiN Market Insights Podcast with Josh Appelbaum. It will be posted at Noon ET. I'll also be joining The Lombardi Line at 12:25 p.m ET to offer a market update.
7:10 p.m. ET: Cleveland Indians (10-9) at Detroit Tigers (9-7)
Both of these AL Central rivals have winning records but have struggled as of late. Cleveland just got swept in a short two game series against the Cubs while Detroit lost two of three at home against the White Sox. The Tribe enter this showdown with the starting pitching advantage as they send Aaron Civale (1-2, 2.84 ERA) to the mound against Tigers veteran Ivan Nova (1-0, 5.74 ERA). This line opened with Cleveland listed as a hefty -160 favorite and the Tigers a + 150 dog. Pros and Joes don't seem to be worried about laying the big number. They've promptly steamed the Indians, pushing Cleveland up to -175. After a surprisingly impressive start to the season, Detroit took a big hit when first baseman and cleanup hitter C.J. Cron went down with a knee injury. The Tigers are 0-2 since he left the lineup.
8 p.m. ET: New York Islanders vs Washington Capitals
The Islanders lead this best-of-seven series 1-0 after scoring a big 4-2 win over the Caps as + 115 dogs. New York showed great resilience after falling down 2-0 early. Conventional wisdom says the Caps are the better team and have to bounce back and even the series in Game 2. This game opened with Washington listed as a short -125 favorite and New York a + 115 dog. However, despite a majority of bets laying the moneyline price with Washington, we've seen this line dip to Caps -120, Isles + 110. This signals some sharp reverse line movement on the Isles to earn another upset. The Caps will be without star center Nicklas Backstrom, who is out with a possible concussion. Smart money is also leaning on a low scoring game. The total opened at 5.5 and the under is juiced up to -140. Some books are even inching down to 5. The hook could end up being crucial in the case of a 3-2 game.
8:40 p.m. ET: Texas Rangers (8-9) at Colorado Rockies (12-6)
This interleague showdown features two teams trending in opposite directions. The Rangers have won two in a row and five of their last six games. The Rockies, on the other hand, have dropped three of their last four. The Rangers will start ace Lance Lynn (2-0, 1.16 ERA) while the Rockies trot out rookie Ryan Castellani (0-0, 0.00). Castellani is making his second Major League start. He threw 4 innings of shutout ball against Seattle six days ago. This line opened with Texas listed as a short -115 road favorite and Colorado a + 105 dog. Sharps have quietly backed Texas, driving the line up to Rangers -120. Road favorites are cashing at roughly a 65% clip this season.
Remember, the sports betting market is fluid and constantly changing due to action coming in. Stay up to date with the latest odds by visiting our free VSiN NBA Live Odds Page for Vegas sportsbooks and for other legalized states.