The Rams dominated the Patriots 24-3 on Thursday Night Football, easily covering as 5-point home favorites. Wiseguys targeted the Patriots plus the points, moving the line from New England + 6.5 to + 5. Some books even touched + 4.5. But sharps got in completely wrong as Los Angeles rolled from start to finish. Pros were able to cash the under without a sweat, though. The total opened at 45.5, got steamed down to 43.5 and landed on 27. With the under cashing, primetime unders (Thursday, Sunday and Monday nights) improve to 24-15 (62%) on the season.
Now it's on to Friday, where we have three college football games and a loaded college hoops slate. For an updated breakdown of Friday's betting action, be sure to tune in to the VSiN Market Insights Podcast with Josh Appelbaum. It will be posted at 12 p.m. ET. I'll also be joining Patrick Meagher and Michael Lombardi on The Lombardi Line at 12:30 p.m ET to offer a market update.
For now, let's discuss where the action is flowing for a pair of Friday Night Lights matchups on the college gridiron.
7 p.m. ET: Arizona State (0-2) at Arizona (0-4)
It's been a season to forget for both of these Pac-12 rivals as neither has won a game this season. Arizona State is 1-1 ATS and just fell to UCLA 25-18, losing straight up as 3-point home favorites. Arizona is 1-3 ATS and just lost to Colorado 24-13, failing to cover as 9.5-point home dogs. Arizona State is being outscored 23-27 while Arizona is being outscored 20-32. This line opened with Arizona State listed as a 9.5-point road favorite. Pros and Joes seem to be aligned with the Sun Devils, as we've seen this line rise from -9.5 to -11.5. The total is 56. Both teams have been profitable to the under, with Arizona State 2-0 and Arizona 3-1.
10 p.m. ET: Nevada (6-1) vs San Jose State (5-0)
This late night showdown between Mountain West elites was supposed to be a home game for San Jose State but will instead be played at a neutral site in Las Vegas (UNLV stadium). Nevada is 5-2 ATS and is coming off a 37-26 win over Fresno State, covering as 6.5-point home favorites. Meanwhile, San Jose State is 4-0-1 ATS and just beat Hawaii 35-24, covering as 3-point road favorites. Nevada is outscoring their opponents 31-22 while San Jose State is outscoring their opponents 30-17. This line opened with San Jose State listed as a 3-point favorite. The public is backing the undefeated Spartans, yet we've seen this line fall from San Jose State -3 to -2. This signals some sharp reverse line movement on Nevada, with respected money grabbing the points, not laying them. We've also seen some slight over money show up, raising the total from 58 to 59. When these teams met last year Nevada won 41-38.
More Friday Line Movement
UTEP-North Texas Over 62.5 to 64.5