Friday NBA Finals Game 4 Sharp Report

celtics

Today bettors have a plethora of Friday sweats to choose from including 15 MLB games and Game 4 of the NBA Finals. For an updated breakdown of Friday's betting action, be sure to tune in to the VSiN Market Insights Podcast with Josh Appelbaum. It will be posted by 3 p.m. ET.

I'll be joining The Lombardi Line at 1:30 p.m. ET to offer a market update and then I'll be co-hosting Betting Across America with Mike Pritchard from 3 to 4 p.m. ET.

In the meantime, let's discuss where smart money is leaning for tonight's NBA Finals matchup...

 

9 p.m. ET: Golden State Warriors at Boston Celtics

This is Game 4 of the NBA Finals. The Celtics lead the series 2-1. After splitting the first two games in San Francisco, Boston took care of business at home in Game 3, winning 116-100 and covering as 3.5-point favorites. 

Tonight's rematch opened with Boston listed as a 3.5-point home favorite. Respected money has laid the chalk with the Celtics, steaming Boston up from -3.5 to -4. Favorites are 52-38 ATS (58%) this postseason. Favorites with line movement in their favor are 29-17 ATS (63%). Favorites are also 62-28 (69%) straight up. Boston is -165 on the moneyline. Golden State is +145.

The Warriors have struggled to cover numbers on the road this season, going 20-28 ATS (42%) as visitors overall, including 2-6 ATS on the road this postseason. On the flip side, Golden State has been a great home team to bet on (31-19 ATS, 62% and 8-3 ATS this postseason).

We've also seen some respected money hit the under, dropping the total from 215.5 to 214.5. Unders are 55-35 (61%) this postseason. Unders that fall at least a half point are 33-16 (67%). When the total is 210 or more, the under is 47-25 (65%). The over is 2-1 this series. 

Leading 2-1, the Celtics are -225 favorites to win the NBA Title. The Warriors are +180 dogs. Jayson Tatum (+115) is the favorite to win Finals MVP, followed by Steph Curry (+200) and Jaylen Brown (+300). 

How long will the series go?

5 games (+350)

6 games (+125)

7 games (+150)

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PRO TOOLS

Betting Splits: Percentage of handle & tickets from DraftKings for every game on the board, updated every 10 minutes. GO HERE.

NFL Power Ratings3 sets of numbers from Steve MakinenGO HERE.

CFB Power Ratings3 sets of numbers from Steve MakinenGO HERE.

View more CFB tools for Pro subscribers

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PRO TIPS

VSiN PrimeTime: Always check to see if a moneyline parlay offers better odds than a teaser. View more tips

Live Bet Tonight: In games with favorites laying 3 points or fewer, check out laying the price on the moneyline and avoid losing by a few points. View more tips

PRO PICKS

Matt Youmans: Washington +6 vs Texas. View more picks

Paul Stone: Florida State -7 vs Oklahoma. View more pick

 

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