Friday NBA Finals Game 4 Sharp Report


Today bettors have a plethora of Friday sweats to choose from including 15 MLB games and Game 4 of the NBA Finals. For an updated breakdown of Friday's betting action, be sure to tune in to the VSiN Market Insights Podcast with Josh Appelbaum. It will be posted by 3 p.m. ET.

I'll be joining The Lombardi Line at 1:30 p.m. ET to offer a market update and then I'll be co-hosting Betting Across America with Mike Pritchard from 3 to 4 p.m. ET.

In the meantime, let's discuss where smart money is leaning for tonight's NBA Finals matchup...


9 p.m. ET: Golden State Warriors at Boston Celtics

This is Game 4 of the NBA Finals. The Celtics lead the series 2-1. After splitting the first two games in San Francisco, Boston took care of business at home in Game 3, winning 116-100 and covering as 3.5-point favorites. 

Tonight's rematch opened with Boston listed as a 3.5-point home favorite. Respected money has laid the chalk with the Celtics, steaming Boston up from -3.5 to -4. Favorites are 52-38 ATS (58%) this postseason. Favorites with line movement in their favor are 29-17 ATS (63%). Favorites are also 62-28 (69%) straight up. Boston is -165 on the moneyline. Golden State is +145.

The Warriors have struggled to cover numbers on the road this season, going 20-28 ATS (42%) as visitors overall, including 2-6 ATS on the road this postseason. On the flip side, Golden State has been a great home team to bet on (31-19 ATS, 62% and 8-3 ATS this postseason).

We've also seen some respected money hit the under, dropping the total from 215.5 to 214.5. Unders are 55-35 (61%) this postseason. Unders that fall at least a half point are 33-16 (67%). When the total is 210 or more, the under is 47-25 (65%). The over is 2-1 this series. 

Leading 2-1, the Celtics are -225 favorites to win the NBA Title. The Warriors are +180 dogs. Jayson Tatum (+115) is the favorite to win Finals MVP, followed by Steph Curry (+200) and Jaylen Brown (+300). 

How long will the series go?

5 games (+350)

6 games (+125)

7 games (+150)

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