Friday MLB Sharp Report

astros

For an updated breakdown of Friday's betting action, be sure to tune in to the VSiN Market Insights Podcast with Josh Appelbaum. It will be posted at 3 p.m. ET. I'll also be joining The Lombardi Line at 1:30 p.m. ET to offer a market update and then I'll be co-hosting Betting Across America with Femi Abebefe from 3 to 4 p.m. ET.

In the meantime, let's discuss a trio of MLB games receiving sharp action today...

 

3:07 p.m. ET: Tampa Bay Rays (40-35) at Toronto Blue Jays (43-33)

The Blue Jays took last night's series opener 4-1, cashing as -140 home favorites. In this late afternoon rematch, the Rays send out righty Corey Kluber (3-4, 3.45 ERA) and the Jays tap fellow righty Jose Berrios (5-4, 5.86 ERA). This line opened with Toronto listed as a -145 home favorite and Tampa Bay a +135 road dog. Sharps have pounced on the Rays getting plus money, dropping Tampa Bay from +135 to +115. Road teams off a loss who made the playoffs the previous year are 91-65 (58%) this season. The Rays also have value as a divisional dog in a high total game (9). Kluber has a 2.54 ERA in five June starts. Meanwhile, Berrios has been getting knocked around hard as of late, posting a 6.28 ERA in five June starts. The Rays have the edge in pitching overall, sporting a team ERA of 3.23 compared to 4.02 for Toronto. 

 

8:10 p.m. ET: Los Angeles Angels (37-41) at Houston Astros (48-27)

Both of these AL West rivals have played well as of late. The Angels just took two of three at home against the White Sox while the Astros just swept a combined three game set against both the Mets and Yankees. In tonight's series opener, the Angels hand the ball to righty Michael Lorenzen (6-5, 4.24 ERA) and the Astros counter with fellow righty Cristian Javier (5-3, 2.73 ERA). This line opened with Houston listed as a -145 home favorite and Los Angeles a +130 road dog. Pros have laid the chalk with the surging Astros, steaming Houston up from -145 to -155. Favorites who made the playoffs last year against teams who did not are 298-158 (65%) this season. The Astros are 41-18 as a favorite, 21-11 at home and 34-19 against righties. On the flip side, the Angels are 5-18 as a dog, 16-18 on the road and 27-30 against righties. Both teams are hitting .238. The difference comes on the mound, where the Astros' team ERA is 2.98 and the Angels sit at 3.82. Javier is coming off a combined no-hitter against the Yankees where he struck out 13. Lorenzen has a 6.75 ERA in four June starts. 

 

8:10 p.m. ET: Arizona Diamondbacks (34-42) at Colorado Rockies (33-43)

Both of these NL West cellar-dwellers have struggled lately, with Arizona just 2-6 over their last 8 games and Colorado 3-6 over their last 9 games. In tonight's series opener, Arizona hands the ball to righty Merrill Kelly (6-5, 3.64 ERA) and Colorado starts fellow righty Antonio Senzatela (3-4, 4.66 ERA). This line opened with the Rockies listed as a short -110 home favorite and the Dbacks a +100 road dog. Sharps have sided with Colorado at home, steaming the Rockies up from -110 to -120. When both teams are coming off a day off, as is the case here, the favorite is 61-34 (64%) this season. Colorado is 9-7 as a favorite as 21-10 at home. On the flip side, Arizona is 24-34 as a dog and 15-20 on the road. Colorado has a big edge at the plate, hitting .261 as a team compared to .215 for Arizona. 

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