Friday MLB Sharp Report

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Happy Friday! Today we have 13 MLB games, 9 NBA games and 5 NHL games to choose from. For an extensive breakdown of Friday's betting action, be sure to tune in to the VSiN Market Insights Podcast with Josh Appelbaum. It will be posted by 3 p.m. ET. I'll also be joining The Lombardi Line at 1:30 p.m ET and then co-hosting Betting Across America with Mike Pritchard from 3 to 4 p.m. ET.

In the meantime, let's discuss where respected money is flowing for several MLB matchups today...

 

2:20 p.m. ET: Los Angeles Dodgers (0-0) at Colorado Rockies (0-0)

These NL West rivals finished at opposite ends of the division standings last season. The Dodgers went 106-56, trailing the first-place Giants by one game. Meanwhile, the Rockies went 74-87, a whopping 32.5-games out of first place. In this afternoon's season opener, the Dodgers send out ace righty Walker Buehler (16-4, 2.47 ERA in 2021) and the Rockies counter with lefty Kyle Freeland (7-8, 4.33 ERA). This line opened with Los Angeles listed as a -190 road favorite and Colorado a +175 home dog. Pros have laid the chalk with the Dodgers, steaming Los Angeles up from -190 to -200. Opening Day favorites are 163-99 (62%) since 2005. We could also be looking at a higher scoring game at Coors Field. The total opened at 11 and has been bet up to 11.5. The Dodgers' win total is 98.5 while the Rockies sit at 69.5. 

 

3:05 p.m. ET: Oakland Athletics (0-0) at Philadelphia Phillies (0-0)

This Interleague matchup features two teams with far different expectations in 2022. The rebuilding Athletics traded away several key veterans this offseason in exchange for prospects. Meanwhile, the Phillies spent big money in free agency, adding Nick Castellanos and Kyle Schwarber to an already stacked offensive lineup. Oakland's win total is 68.5 while the Phillies sit at 86.5. In this afternoon's season opener, the Athletics hand the ball to righty Frankie Montas (13-9, 3.37 ERA) and the Phillies counter with ace righty Aaron Nola (9-9, 4.63 ERA). This line opened with Philadelphia listed as a -170 home favorite and Oakland a +150 road dog. Wiseguys are laying the chalk with the Phillies at home, steaming Philadelphia up from -170 to -180. The total opened at 8 and most books are juicing the under to -115 or -120, signaling under liability and a possible fall down to 7.5. Philadelphia has value as an Interleague Favorite with a low total and a line move in their favor.

 

7:20 p.m. ET: Cincinnati Reds (1-0) at Atlanta Braves (0-1)

The Reds took yesterday's season opener 6-3, cashing as +160 road dogs. In tonight's rematch, Cincinnati hands the ball to lefty Reiver Sanmartin (2-0, 1.54 ERA) while Atlanta turns to veteran righty Charlie Morton (14-6, 3.34 ERA). This line opened with the Braves listed as a -180 home favorite and the Reds a +150 road dog. Respected money is banking on Atlanta to bounce back with a victory, driving the Braves closer to -190 at most shops. We've also seen some under money show up, dropping the total from 9 to 8.5. 

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A Numbers Game: Always compare odds with games behind, remaining schedule, and strength of schedule. i.e. Braves at +300 offer value just 1 game behind the Mets.

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