Friday MLB Sharp Report (8-20)

August 20, 2021 05:05 AM

Happy Fade the Public Friday! Today we have a loaded betting menu on tap, featuring 15 MLB games and 2 NFL Preseason games. For an updated breakdown of Friday's betting action, be sure to tune in to the VSiN Market Insights Podcast with Josh Appelbaum. It will be posted at 1 p.m. ET. I'll also be joining The Lombardi Line at 1:30 p.m. ET to offer a market update and then co-hosting Betting Across America with Mike Pritchard from 3 to 5 p.m. ET. 

In the meantime, let's discuss where the money is flowing for a trio of Friday night MLB matchups...

7:07 p.m. ET: Detroit Tigers (58-65) at Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)

Both of these non-division opponents are looking to bounce back from tough stretches. The Tigers just got swept by the Angels, which included blowing a 10-2 lead yesterday and losing 13-10. Similarly, the Jays are just 1-5 over their last six and just got swept by the Nationals. In tonight's series opener, Detroit hands the ball to lefty Tyler Alexander (2-2, 4.57 ERA) and Toronto counters with fellow southpaw Robbie Ray (9-5, 2.88 ERA). This line opened with Toronto listed as a hefty -225 home favorite and Detroit a + 200 road dog. Pros and Joes see a "get right" spot for the Jays against a Tigers team plagued by bullpen woes as of late, steaming Toronto up from -225 to -245. Non-division home favorites -200 or more are 144-52 (73.5%) this season. This is also a schedule advantage for Toronto, who was off yesterday while Detroit played the Angels at home. Rested favorites playing against teams on a back-to-back have gone 54-31 (63.5%).

8:40 p.m. ET: Arizona Diamondbacks (41-81) at Colorado Rockies (55-66)

Despite finding themselves well out of playoff contention, both of these teams have played well as of late. The Diamondbacks own the second worst record in MLB (only the Orioles are worse), but Arizona is 6-1 over their last seven games and just swept the Phillies. Similarly, the Rockies are 4-1 over their last five games and just swept the Padres. In tonight's series opener, Arizona taps lefty Tyler Gilbert (1-1, 0.00 ERA) and Colorado starts fellow southpaw Austin Gomber (9-7, 4.09 ERA). This line opened with the Rockies listed as a -161 home favorite and the Diamondbacks a + 148 road dog. Sharps aren't scared off by the chalk price and have driven Colorado up from -161 to -174. Home favorites receiving 10-cents of steam or more are 320-194 (62.3%). This is also a "schedule" spot as the Rockies had yesterday off while the Snakes played the Phillies. Rested favorites playing against teams on a back-to-back have gone 54-31 (63.5%). Colorado is 19-7 as a favorite and 22-16 against lefties. Arizona is 31-73 as a dog and 9-23 against lefties. The Rockies are 41-21 at home. Arizona is 14-45 on the road. 

9:40 p.m. ET: San Francisco Giants (78-43) at Oakland Athletics (69-53)

This Interleague showdown features a pair of California teams with postseason aspirations. The Giants own the best record in baseball and lead the NL West by 2.5-games over the Dodgers. Meanwhile, the Athletics currently occupy the 2nd Wild Card spot in the AL and trail the first place Astros by just 2.5-games in the AL West. In tonight's series opener, San Francisco sends out lefty Alex Wood (10-3, 4.14 ERA) and Oakland counters with righty James Kaprielian (6-4, 3.33 ERA). This line opened with the Athletics listed as a short -109 home favorite and the Giants a -101 road dog. The public is split and doesn't know who to back, but pros have pounced on the Giants at a virtual pick'em price, steaming San Francisco up to -115. Non-division favorites receiving 10-cents of steam or more are 242-149 (61.9%) this season. This is also a "schedule spot" advantage for the Giants, who were off yesterday while the Athletics played the White Sox in Chicago.  Non-division rested favorites against teams on a back-to-back are 22-12 (73.3%). San Francisco is 50-24 as a favorite. Oakland is 16-20 as a dog. 

Remember to check the VSiN Betting Splits every day for money and ticket counts so you can tell who the public is betting on.

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