Friday College Hoops Sharp Report for Oakland-Milwaukee, South Alabama-App State and Utah State-Boise State

February 19, 2021 01:23 AM

Bettors are in for a treat today as we have a jam-packed Friday betting menu filled with 40-plus college basketball games, 9 NBA games and 4 NHL games. For an updated breakdown of Friday's action, including the top line moves and sharp contrarian bets, be sure to tune in to the VSiN Market Insights Podcast with Josh Appelbaum. It will be posted at noon ET. I will also be joining The Lombardi Line at 1:45 p.m. ET to offer a market update. 

In the meantime, let's discuss a trio of Friday college hoops matchups receiving notable line movement.

6 p.m. ET: Oakland (9-16) at Milwaukee (7-10)

This early evening Horizon League showdown may not be garnering much attention from the betting public. But respected money has taken notice. Oakland started the season 0-9 and has rebounded to go a 9-7 the rest of the way. Meanwhile, Milwaukee has dropped four straight and is looking to get back on track. This line opened with Milwaukee listed as a 1.5-point home favorite and we've seen the line jump up to -2, signaling some wiseguy money in their favor. Since this is such a low bet, unpopular game, we know that no recreational bettors are waking up today saying "I have to bet Oakland vs Milwaukee." As a result, we know that it's almost exclusively pros with an edge targeting this number. Ken Pom has Milwaukee winning by two points. As a result, a look at Milwaukee on the moneyline (-125) may be more attractive. We've also seen some under money show up, dropping the total from 154.5 to 153.5. Both of these teams are paced around 69 according to Ken Pom, which is on the slower side (anything 70 or less is slower, anything 70 above is quicker). 

6 p.m. ET: South Alabama (14-8) at Appalachian State (12-7)

Who's ready for some Sun Belt fun belt action? South Alabama enters red-hot, riding a six-game winning streak. On the flip side, Appalachian State has dropped two straight and is now playing their first game back off a long COVID layoff (last game Jan. 30). This line opened with App State listed as a short 2.5-point home favorite. Respected money has jumped on South Alabama and the points, with has dropped the line down to 1.5. South Alabama has value as a short road conference dog with a line move in their favor. South Alabama also has buy low value as a "bad" ATS team (8-10) against a sell high "good" ATS ream (9-5-1). Ken Pom has App State winning by three, which isn't much of an edge for the dog. However, Pom does have these teams almost even in terms of rankings, with South Alabama 203rd and App State 197th. 

10 p.m. ET: Utah State (14-6) at Boise State (17-4)

These Mountain West powerhouses met two nights ago and Boise State took home the victory 79-70, covering as 1.5-point home favorites. It marked the first game for Utah State since returning from their two-week COVID pause. This rematch opened with Boise State listed as a short 1.5-point home favorite. This line either remained at -1.5 or crept up slightly to -2, signaling liability once again on the side of Boise. Ken Pom has Boise winning this game by two points, so wiseguys who like Boise may prefer backing them on the moneyline (-125) instead of laying the points. Boise is a perfect 10-0 on their home court this season. We've also seen some over money show up, pushing the total from 140 to 141. The over has cashed in four of the last five meetings between these rivals. The over is 11-9 in Boise games but the under is 11-8 in Utah State games. 

More Friday Movement

Fairfield + 5.5 to + 4.5 vs Canisius 

Youngstown State -4 to -5 vs IUPUI

Iona -1 to -2 vs Monmouth

FIU -2 to -3 vs Southern Miss

Old Dominion + 7.5 to + 6.5 at UAB

UC Riverside -6.5 to -8 at UC San Diego

Toledo-Buffalo Over 160 to 162.5

Hawaii -4 to -5 at CS Northridge

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